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                                <title>Is Indivior a falling knife to buy after plunging 20%?</title>
                <link>https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2018/07/25/is-indivior-a-falling-knife-to-buy-after-plunging-20/</link>
                                <pubDate>Wed, 25 Jul 2018 10:45:32 +0000</pubDate>
                <dc:creator><![CDATA[Alan Oscroft]]></dc:creator>
                		<category><![CDATA[Investing Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Indivior]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tern]]></category>

                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/?p=114811</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<p>Indivior plc (LON: INDV) shares crash on a profit warning, but is it an oversold bargain to snap up?</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2018/07/25/is-indivior-a-falling-knife-to-buy-after-plunging-20/">Is Indivior a falling knife to buy after plunging 20%?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
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                                                                                            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Shares in <strong>FTSE 250</strong> drug maker <strong>Indivior</strong> (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/tickers/lse-indv/">LSE: INDV</a>) took a battering Wednesday, losing 24% at one point in morning trading. As the firm released first-half figures, it also issued a profit warning over a bigger-than-expected financial hit from a generic competitor for the firm&#8217;s key opioid addiction treatment Suboxone.</p>
<p><strong>Dr. Reddy&#8217;s Laboratories</strong>, an Indian pharmaceuticals firm, has been temporarily prevented from selling its <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/investing/2018/07/16/are-these-the-cheapest-growth-stocks-in-the-ftse-250/">generic competitor</a> by a preliminary injunction on 13 July, but it seems that in the preceding days the firm was able to get a large amount of it out to the market.</p>
<p>Indivior had anticipated a 2018 revenue hit of at least $25m, but now says it could be &#8220;<em>materially higher</em>&#8220;. Although sales of Dr. Reddy&#8217;s alternative have been stopped for now, the drug had already gained Food and Drug Administration approval in the USA. That approval is being contested by Indivior, alleging that it infringes on its patents, and the whole issue is heading for the US courts with both sides seeking a speedy judgment.</p>
<h3>Profits down</h3>
<p>The rest of the H1 results seemed barely significant in comparison, but included a 7% fall in net revenue at constant exchange rates, and a 34% drop in adjusted operating profit with adjusted EPS down 16%.</p>
<p>The question is, are the shares an oversold bargain now? I&#8217;d say that is a total gamble. Should the courts rule in favour of Indivior, we could see business back to usual. But there will still be a one-off hit from the generic drug already released, and the competitors will still be there when the patent expires.</p>
<p>With around 80% of Indivior&#8217;s 2017 revenue coming from Suboxone and making it pretty much a one-trick pony, could a judgment in favour of Dr, Reddy&#8217;s even wipe out the company?</p>
<h3>Another faller</h3>
<p>Among the rest of the day&#8217;s fallers, my eye was caught by <strong>Tern</strong> (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/tickers/lse-tern/">LSE: TERN</a>), which describes itself as an &#8220;<em>investment company specialising in the Internet of Things.</em>&#8221; That&#8217;s something which makes me a bit nervous these days, as I can&#8217;t help feeling it&#8217;s a buzz phrase that has perhaps been <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/investing/2018/07/11/why-id-dump-telit-communications-shares-and-buy-this-ftse-250-growth-and-dividend-stock-instead/">overhyped a little</a>.</p>
<p>Tern shares lost 16% in early trading, on the day the company revealed that it has raised £2.9m through a placing at 26p per share. That was 6p lower than Tuesday&#8217;s closing price, so a drop to just under 28p in response doesn&#8217;t seem all that surprising.</p>
<p>Chief executive Al Sisto said it will &#8220;<em>enhance our opportunity to further develop our underlying net asset value,</em>&#8221; which I take to mean keep the company afloat for a while longer until it achieves sustainable profitability.</p>
<h3>Asset acquisition</h3>
<p>There was other, apparently good, news on the day too, after InVMA, a company in which Tern has a 50% holding, announced it has acquired &#8220;<em>the intellectual property and other assets of  Cambridge-based AMIHO Technology.</em>&#8221; AMIHO, apparently, is working on &#8220;<em>the problem of connectivity for the smart energy industry.</em>&#8221; And though I don&#8217;t pretend to understand what that means, it sounds like it&#8217;s developed a bunch of application-specific communications technology.</p>
<p>What does it all mean for me as an investor? Not a lot, frankly. What I see is a &#8216;jam tomorrow&#8217; company working in a sector that I don&#8217;t really understand, and whose share price has been gyrating wildly. Not for me.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2018/07/25/is-indivior-a-falling-knife-to-buy-after-plunging-20/">Is Indivior a falling knife to buy after plunging 20%?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
<p><strong>More reading</strong></p><ul><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/07/01/with-a-yield-of-6-8-and-a-p-e-ratio-of-12-1-is-this-a-dirt-cheap-ftse-250-stock-to-consider/'>With a yield of 6.8% and a P/E ratio of 12.1, is this a dirt cheap FTSE 250 stock to consider?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/07/01/will-spacex-nvidia-or-alphabet-be-the-first-10trn-stock/'>Will SpaceX, Nvidia, or Alphabet be the first $10trn stock?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/07/01/up-95-this-ftse-100-stocks-outperformed-nvidia-over-the-past-year/'>Up 95%! This FTSE 100 stock&#8217;s outperformed Nvidia over the past year</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/07/01/with-a-9-3-yield-is-this-an-amazing-opportunity-to-consider-buying-dirt-cheap-taylor-wimpey-shares/'>With a 9.3% yield, is this an amazing opportunity to consider buying dirt-cheap Taylor Wimpey shares?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/07/01/how-much-do-you-need-in-a-stocks-and-shares-isa-to-aim-for-375-a-week-in-retirement/'>How much do you need in a Stocks and Shares ISA to aim for £375 a week in retirement?</a></li></ul><p><em><a href="https://my.fool.com/profile/TMFBoing/info.aspx">Alan Oscroft</a> has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/help/disclaimer/what-does-it-mean-to-be-motley/">us better investors.</a></em></p>
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                                <title>3 unmissable small-caps? Independent Oil &#038; Gas plc, Tern plc and Belvoir Lettings plc</title>
                <link>https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2016/06/07/3-unmissable-small-caps-independent-oil-gas-plc-tern-plc-and-belvoir-lettings-plc/</link>
                                <pubDate>Tue, 07 Jun 2016 11:29:31 +0000</pubDate>
                <dc:creator><![CDATA[Peter Stephens]]></dc:creator>
                		<category><![CDATA[Investing Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Belvoir Lettings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Independent Oil & Gas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tern]]></category>

                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/?p=82693</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<p>Are these 3 smaller companies buys or sells? Independent Oil &#38; Gas plc (LON: IOG), Tern plc (LON: TERN) and Belvoir Lettings plc (LON: BLV)</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2016/06/07/3-unmissable-small-caps-independent-oil-gas-plc-tern-plc-and-belvoir-lettings-plc/">3 unmissable small-caps? Independent Oil &amp; Gas plc, Tern plc and Belvoir Lettings plc</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
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                                                                                            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Shares in <strong>Independent Oil &amp; Gas</strong> (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/tickers/lse-iog/">LSE: IOG</a>) have risen by around 6% today after it released a positive <a href="https://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/news/market-news/market-news-detail/IOG/12843593.html">update regarding its Skipper appraisal well</a> in the North Sea. It now plans to commence drilling of the appraisal well in July following previous delays due to challenging operating conditions within the oil and gas industry. Furthermore, Independent Oil &amp; Gas now expects to drill with a significantly reduced estimated duration and cost.</p>
<p>Clearly, this is good news for the company and investors have reacted positively to the update. Today&#8217;s share price rise takes Independent Oil &amp; Gas&#8217; capital gains since the turn of the year to 27%, with at least some of those gains being due to a higher oil price.</p>
<p>Looking ahead, there is further potential for gains if the oil price rises, although the supply/demand imbalance which has been present in recent years looks set to persist in the short term at least. Therefore, buying smaller exploration plays remains relatively high risk, although Independent Oil &amp; Gas may be of interest to long term, less risk averse investors.</p>
<p>Also rising today are shares in <strong>Belvoir Lettings</strong> (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/tickers/lse-blv/">LSE: BLV</a>), with the property specialist <a href="https://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/news/market-news/market-news-detail/BLV/12843579.html">announcing the acquisition of Northwood GB Limited</a> for a total consideration of up to £22m. With Northwood being the largest remaining independent UK lettings franchise which operates 86 outlets nationwide, Belvoir will be the largest property franchise group in the UK upon completion of the deal.</p>
<p>To fund the acquisition, Belvoir is conducting a placing to raise gross proceeds of up to £2.5m. The deal appears to be a logical one for Belvoir and fits in with its multi-brand strategy to grow both organically and through acquisitions.</p>
<p>With Belvoir <a href="https://www.digitallook.com/equity/Belvoir_Lettings">forecast to increase its bottom line by 12% this year and 9% next year,</a> it appears to be performing well even without the acquisition of Northwood. And with greater diversity and increased resilience during what could prove to be a relatively challenging period for the UK property sector, buying Belvoir now seems to be a sound move for long term, less risk averse investors.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, investment specialist <strong>Tern</strong> (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/tickers/lse-tern/">LSE: TERN</a>) has also been engaging in M&amp;A activity of late, with it <a href="https://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/news/market-news/market-news-detail/TERN/12830100.html">announcing the purchase of Flexiant Limited last month</a>. It is a provider of cloud management software for cloud orchestration for on-demand, fully automated provisioning of cloud services. The deal has been paid for through the issue of 8m new ordinary shares in Tern and with its shares rising by 13% in the last month, investor sentiment in the business seems to be improving.</p>
<p>Clearly, the cloud and internet of things spaces have considerable long term appeal and could allow Tern to deliver rising profitability over the coming years. However, with it being <a href="https://www.digitallook.com/equity/Tern">a loss-making entity last year</a> and there being other options within that space, it may be prudent to await further news flow and improved financial performance before piling in.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2016/06/07/3-unmissable-small-caps-independent-oil-gas-plc-tern-plc-and-belvoir-lettings-plc/">3 unmissable small-caps? Independent Oil &amp; Gas plc, Tern plc and Belvoir Lettings plc</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
<p><strong>More reading</strong></p><ul><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/07/01/with-a-yield-of-6-8-and-a-p-e-ratio-of-12-1-is-this-a-dirt-cheap-ftse-250-stock-to-consider/'>With a yield of 6.8% and a P/E ratio of 12.1, is this a dirt cheap FTSE 250 stock to consider?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/07/01/will-spacex-nvidia-or-alphabet-be-the-first-10trn-stock/'>Will SpaceX, Nvidia, or Alphabet be the first $10trn stock?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/07/01/up-95-this-ftse-100-stocks-outperformed-nvidia-over-the-past-year/'>Up 95%! This FTSE 100 stock&#8217;s outperformed Nvidia over the past year</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/07/01/with-a-9-3-yield-is-this-an-amazing-opportunity-to-consider-buying-dirt-cheap-taylor-wimpey-shares/'>With a 9.3% yield, is this an amazing opportunity to consider buying dirt-cheap Taylor Wimpey shares?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/07/01/how-much-do-you-need-in-a-stocks-and-shares-isa-to-aim-for-375-a-week-in-retirement/'>How much do you need in a Stocks and Shares ISA to aim for £375 a week in retirement?</a></li></ul><p><em><a href="https://my.fool.com/profile/XMFstockpicker/info.aspx">Peter Stephens</a> has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/help/disclaimer/what-does-it-mean-to-be-motley/">us better investors.</a></em></p>
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                                <title>Why Have Glencore PLC, Globo Plc &#038; Tern PLC Been So Volatile In Recent Days?</title>
                <link>https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2015/09/16/why-have-glencore-plc-globo-plc-tern-plc-been-so-volatile-in-recent-days/</link>
                                <pubDate></pubDate>
                <dc:creator><![CDATA[Alessandro Pasetti]]></dc:creator>
                		<category><![CDATA[Investing Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Glencore]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Globo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tern]]></category>

                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/?p=70257</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<p>Glencore PLC (LON:GLEN), Globo Plc (LON:GBO) and Tern PLC (LON:TERN) are very different equity investments, argues Alessandro Pasetti. </p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2015/09/16/why-have-glencore-plc-globo-plc-tern-plc-been-so-volatile-in-recent-days/">Why Have Glencore PLC, Globo Plc &amp; Tern PLC Been So Volatile In Recent Days?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
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                                                                                            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em><a href="https://my.fool.com/profile/hedgingbeta/info.aspx">Alessandro Pasetti</a> has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don&#8217;t all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/help/disclaimer/what-does-it-mean-to-be-motley/">us better investors.</a></em></p>
<p><strong>Tern</strong> (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/tickers/lse-tern/">LSE: TERN</a>) fell almost 14% from its intra-day high on Tuesday, but <strong>Globo</strong> (LSE: GBO) fared even worse yesterday, when its shares lost 16% of value during the trading session. <strong>Glencore</strong> (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/tickers/lse-glen/">LSE: GLEN</a>), meanwhile, is down 10% since it bounced back to 144p last week on the back of a new restructuring plan.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s my quick take on these three very different companies. </p>
<h3><strong>Top Pick </strong></h3>
<p>Globo&#8217;s downbeat performance since mid-June has surprised me. Its shares roared back today, and were up 15% at the time of writing, but I am puzzled. It is really hard to say why they have fallen and risen so much during the last couple of days, given that aside from an update on its high-yield bond fundraising, there&#8217;s not been much to report this week. </p>
<p>&#8220;<em>This process has been delayed by market events through the summer of 2015,</em>&#8221; the tech company said on Monday, and it&#8217;s possible that investors were not pleased with that. Still, it also said that its financing plans have received &#8220;<em>strong interest from numerous investors</em>&#8220;, and frankly its balance sheet doesn&#8217;t strike me as being particularly stretched, while its core cash flow profile is sound. Trading multiples also point to value. </p>
<p>It has succumbed to broader market volatility in the third quarter, but its first-half trading update was decent and personally I think its stock remains a good buy at 28p. </p>
<h3>Trust</h3>
<p>I wouldn&#8217;t blame you if you are reluctant to invest in Glencore.</p>
<p>On the one hand its update on 7 September was good news, as it signalled that management is ready to take drastic action to preserve cash flows in order to ride out a very difficult economic juncture for all the major minors. On the other, it will take time to determine whether the &#8220;New Glencore&#8221; will be any better than the &#8220;Old Glencore&#8221;, and <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/investing/2015/09/07/is-glencore-plcs-2-5bn-cash-call-good-news-for-the-mining-sector/">several elements</a> of its radical restructuring deserve attention.</p>
<p>At 131p, the shares hover around their all-time low of 118p, yet before a sustained rally takes place, investors must regain trust in the company as well as in the global economy.</p>
<h3><b>Risk </b></h3>
<p>Tern is up 10% today, and currently trades at 21p. This is a tiny firm that invests in the tech world, and as such I would expect it to have a relatively weak balance sheet, negative operating cash flows and funding needs that are essentially backed by investors who are willing to embrace risk.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s precisely what <a href="https://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/news/market-news/market-news-detail/12451060.html">you’d be buying</a> today, which is not necessarily a big problem given that its investment portfolio could indeed deliver rapidly rising returns.</p>
<p>The biggest risk is represented by possible <a href="https://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/news/market-news/market-news-detail/12456098.html">dilution</a> stemming from several rounds of equity financing that may be needed to support its cost base as well as its ambitious expansion plans. </p>
<p>Until higher revenues are generated, though, personally I&#8217;d leave it to opportunistic traders.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2015/09/16/why-have-glencore-plc-globo-plc-tern-plc-been-so-volatile-in-recent-days/">Why Have Glencore PLC, Globo Plc &amp; Tern PLC Been So Volatile In Recent Days?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
<p><strong>More reading</strong></p><ul><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/23/down-10-to-below-6-now-heres-why-glencores-share-price-looks-a-bargain-to-me-anywhere-under-12-13/">Down 10% to below £6 now! Here’s why Glencore’s share price looks a bargain to me anywhere under £12.13</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/14/warren-buffett-warns-on-valuations-is-market-cap-to-gdp-flashing-a-bubble-signal-again/">Warren Buffett warns on valuations — is market cap-to-GDP flashing a bubble signal again?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/03/2-ftse-100-dividend-stocks-that-stand-out-for-shareholder-returns/">2 FTSE 100 dividend stocks that stand out for shareholder returns</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/02/up-over-100-are-these-ftse-100-names-still-among-the-top-stocks-to-buy/">Up over 100%, are these FTSE 100 names still among the top stocks to buy?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/01/up-103-with-a-p-e-of-261-is-this-ftse-100-stock-still-worth-buying/">Up 103% with a P/E of 261 — is this FTSE 100 stock still worth buying?</a></li></ul><p><em><a href="https://my.fool.com/profile/hedgingbeta/info.aspx">Alessandro Pasetti</a> has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/help/disclaimer/what-does-it-mean-to-be-motley/">us better investors.</a></em></p>
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