July’s UK consumer price index (CPI) came in hotter than expected at 10.1%. This is a 40-year high and has the potential to drive share prices further down as consumers struggle with a cost of living crisis. So, here are five shares I’m considering buying.

Lloyds

As the UK’s biggest lender, I believe Lloyds (LSE: LLOY) shares are a sound choice for my portfolio. It earns its money from the difference in providing and earning interest from loans. This is otherwise known as net interest income.

Interest rates are expected to go as high as 3% by 2024 as the Bank of England tries to combat inflation. As a result, the high street bank should get a top-line boost from higher lending costs, while benefiting from lower interest paid to customers. With enough cash to set aside for bad loan provisions, Lloyds doesn’t need to increase its savings rate to bring in more cash, thus allowing it to increase its profits. This was evident in the company’s latest half-year results, which saw it recording excellent numbers.

It’s worth noting, however, that the majority of its income stems from mortgages. With house prices and mortgage approvals starting to decline, it remains a possibility that Lloyds’ revenue could be impacted. Nonetheless, analysts think that the increase in rates should offset any declines for the time being. In fact, Lloyds stock is rated a buy as its dividend is also expected to increase. It has an average price target of 64.33p, or a 40% upside.

SSE

Energy prices have been the main culprit behind sky-high inflation. That’s because energy prices are at their highest levels since 2009. As such, I think SSE (LSE: SSE) is a share to buy for my portfolio given the circumstances.

When wholesale energy prices go up, energy suppliers increases their rates to cover the extra costs. This has allowed companies like SSE to benefit, with its top and bottom lines seeing modest increases. As a matter of fact, its profit and loss account saw its best numbers in FY22, which is why its shares are up 9% this year.

The latest inflation report shows that energy prices rose 3% on a month-on-month basis. And with a higher price cap expected in October, SSE should benefit from this. After all, its latest trading update indicates that it expects adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of at least £1.20 for FY23. This would bring its EPS to its highest level in five years.

Additionally, its dividend yield of 4.7% is rather modest and is expected to rise given its most recent increase in payout, from 25.5p to 60.2p. SSE shares are rated a moderate buy with an average price target of £20.78.

Unilever

Next on my list is Unilever (LSE: ULVR). Its share price has been rather volatile this year. Nevertheless, it has recovered by 5% since its reported its H1 numbers. Its shares are now only down by 1% on a year-to-date basis.

The fast-moving consumer goods conglomerate produces beauty products and personal care, foods and cleaning agents. Its brands include Lynx, Ben & Jerry’s, Dove, and many more. These are household names and have tremendous pricing power, given the inelastic demand surrounding most of its products. This is strongly reflected in the revised outlook given by CEO Alan Jope, when he improved the firm’s guidance.

Our guidance for underlying sales growth in 2022 was previously at the top end of a range of 4.5% to 6.5%. We now expect underlying sales growth to be above that range, driven by price with some further pressure on volume.

Unilever CEO Alan Jope

Nevertheless, it should be noted that Unilever shares are more of a defensive play to protect from potential downside at the moment. Analysts are forecasting an average price target of £40.81, which only means a potential 3% gain if I were to buy shares now.

Burberry

Burberry (LSE: BRBY) shares are a good inflation hedge, in my opinion. The brand’s status as a luxury retailer allows it to pass on many of its costs to consumers given the nature of its target market. This was confirmed by CFO Julie Brown in its Q1 trading update, with a positive outlook for the company.

The FTSE 100 retailer has benefited from the return of global travel, with a substantial amount of its sales coming from tourists. It saw its like-for-like sales numbers grow by 1% on an annual basis, despite lockdowns in key revenue driver, China. Excluding China, sales figures were actually rather impressive. They were 16% higher in Q1 overall, with EMEIA boasting impressive 47% growth. Moreover, the company’s most profitable products (leather goods and outerwear) also saw double-digit growth.

That being said, I should point out that China remains the firm’s achilles heel for the moment. With its government sticking to its zero-Covid policy, I don’t expect sales figures from that region to see an uptick any time soon. This is why its average price target currently sits at £19.34. Therefore, this is more of a long-term investment with a higher upside once China’s retail sales fully recovers.

Tesco

Last on my shopping list are Tesco shares (LSE: TSCO). Given that its core products are consumer staples, I’m expecting Tesco shares to be robust in a recessionary environment. It’s also been steadily increasing its dividend payouts, which should serve as an added benefit.

As the market leader in the UK supermarket sector with more than a quarter of the market share, I think Tesco will be able to outperform its peers. Its Aldi price match across hundreds of items has been a success so far. According to the last several Kantar grocery reports, the supermarket leader has seen its market share remain relatively robust. It has also managed to outperform most if its competitors with higher sales figures. And its Q1 trading update showed its strength in the industry.

Having said that, sales figures are expected to come in slightly lower for the year. The grocer no longer enjoys the tailwinds of the pandemic and faces slower sales as a result of high inflation. Even so, I still think Tesco can utilise its strong supply chain and relationship with customers to match last year’s stellar performance. Analysts seem to share the same sentiment, rating Tesco shares a strong buy with an average price rating of £3.19.

The post Inflation hits 10.1%! 5 shares to buy now! appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

More reading

• Is there any value left in Lloyds shares now they’re over £1?
• 3,566 shares in this FTSE 100 stalwart earns a £1,443 second income
• Prediction: this UK growth stock will outperform Lloyds shares over the next 5 years
• Barclays, NatWest or Lloyds shares: which is the better pick for a UK retirement portfolio?
• Here’s what a surging Tesco share price has done to £10,000 invested 5 years ago

John Choong has positions in Burberry. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Burberry, Lloyds Banking Group, Tesco, and Unilever. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Earnings results are a great way for investors to judge a company. They’re used to determine whether companies are on track with their initial guidance. These results can often radically move share prices in either direction, depending on the numbers reported. So, here’s an earnings preview for three FTSE firms reporting results this week.

It’s always best to compare firms’ new quarterly/half-year numbers to those from prior years. But certain revenue figures may have been impacted by the pandemic, so it’s important to get context from pre-pandemic levels too. It can also be useful to consider whether a company can perform better than its previous year’s numbers, or if it can beat analysts’ annual forecasts. Analysts in the UK don’t always publish earnings previews for quarterly or half-year periods, but given their popularity, the shares covered below are exceptions.

Lloyds (H1 Earnings)

Lloyds (LSE: LLOY) is one of Britain’s biggest financial institutions. Its brands include Lloyds itself, Halifax, and Bank of Scotland. It earns the bulk of its revenue from mortgage loans. The FTSE 100 bank is expected to post its half-year earnings for its six months performance ending June on 27 July. The company’s financial year ends in December.

The overall consensus is that Lloyds is expected to continue growing its top line from rising interest rates. That being said, its diluted EPS is expected to decrease for the half year and full year. This is most probably due to the increasing number of defaults and bad loan provisions. Investors will also be keeping an eye out for the remediation figure, number of late-stage loans, and free cash flow to determine whether the UK is entering a recession.

Shell (Q2 Trading Update)

Shell (LSE: SHEL) is a British multinational oil and gas company. It is one of the biggest oil and gas firms. And by revenue and profits, it’s one of the largest companies in the world. The giant is set to reveal its Q2 numbers for its three months performance ending June on 28 July. The company’s financial year ends in December.

The earnings preview seems to indicate a top and bottom line improvement to Shell’s business, as last year’s figures were still impacted by worldwide lockdowns. As global travel resumes, investors will be keeping an eye out for future guidance to determine whether analysts estimates can be met for the full year. If so, the Shell share price is expected to stay green for the foreseeable future.

Unilever (H1 Earnings)

Unilever (LSE: ULVR) is a consumer goods conglomerate producing food, condiments, ice cream, cleaning agents, beauty products, and personal care. Its brands include Lynx, Ben & Jerry’s, Dove, and many more. Unilever will be releasing its half-year earnings for its six months performance ending June on 26 July. The company’s financial year ends in December.

While revenue is expected to increase on a half-year and full-year basis, underlying EPS is expected to fall. This is most probably due to high inflation rates that are beginning to take a toll on a global scale, with higher costs impacting the producer’s operation expenditure. Nonetheless, a beat on both revenue and EPS estimates this week could see the Unilever share price push into the green for the year.

The post Earnings preview: Lloyds, Shell, Unilever appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

More reading

• Is there any value left in Lloyds shares now they’re over £1?
• 3,566 shares in this FTSE 100 stalwart earns a £1,443 second income
• Prediction: this UK growth stock will outperform Lloyds shares over the next 5 years
• Barclays, NatWest or Lloyds shares: which is the better pick for a UK retirement portfolio?
• Here’s how much I think Lloyds shares will be worth by the end of 2027

John Choong has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group and Unilever. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Director dealings are essentially insider transactions for shares between directors and the companies they work for. These dealings are always made public, and are often considered a good indicator of a company’s future prospects. However, they don’t get nearly as much attention as other company news due to their complex nature. Nonetheless, here I’m breaking down this week’s biggest director dealings from three FTSE firms.

Rolls-Royce

Rolls-Royce (LSE: RR) a British multinational aerospace and defence holdings company. It is one of the world’s largest maker of aircraft engines, and operates in four different segments. These include civil aerospace, power systems, defence, and new markets. This week, four director dealings were carried out, albeit in small volumes.

• Name: Lee Hsien Yang
• Position of director: Non-Executive Director
• Nature of transaction: Purchase of shares (Share purchase plan)
• Date of transaction: 7 July 2022
• Amount bought: 1,184 @ £0.83
• Total value: £950.59

• Name: Wendy Mars
• Position of director: Non-Executive Director
• Nature of transaction: Purchase of shares (Share purchase plan)
• Date of transaction: 7 July 2022
• Amount bought: 2,198 @ £0.83
• Total value: £1,820.38

• Name: Sarah Armstrong
• Position of director: Chief People Officer
• Nature of transaction: Purchase of shares (Share purchase plan)
• Date of transaction: 7 July 2022
• Amount bought: 147 @ £1.02
• Total value: £149.91

• Name: Rob Watson
• Position of director: President (Rolls-Royce Electrical)
• Nature of transaction: Purchase of shares (Share purchase plan)
• Date of transaction: 7 July 2022
• Amount bought: 147 @ £1.02
• Total value: £149.91

Lloyds

Lloyds (LSE: LLOY) is one of Britain’s biggest financial institutions. Its brands include Lloyds itself, Halifax, and Bank of Scotland. It earns the bulk of its revenue from mortgage loans. A large number of director dealings occurred with Lloyds shares this week.

• Name: Joanna Harris
• Position of director: Interim Group Director
• Nature of transaction: Partnership shares and matching shares
• Date of transaction: 11 July 2022
• Amount bought: 296 @ £0.42
• Amount received: 106 @ nil
• Total value: £124.91

• Name: Antonio Lorenzo
• Position of director: Chief Executive Officer (Scottish Widows)
• Nature of transaction: Partnership shares and matching shares
• Date of transaction: 11 July 2022
• Amount bought: 355 @ £0.42
• Amount received: 106 @ nil
• Total value: £149.81

• Name: Janet Pope
• Position of director: Chief of Staff and Group Director of Sustainable Business
• Nature of transaction: Partnership shares and matching shares
• Date of transaction: 11 July 2022
• Amount bought: 296 @ £0.42
• Amount received: 106 @ nil
• Total value: £124.91

• Name: Stephen Shelley
• Position of director: Chief Risk Officer
• Nature of transaction: Partnership shares and matching shares
• Date of transaction: 11 July 2022
• Amount bought: 355 @ £0.42
• Amount received: 106 @ nil
• Total value: £149.81

• Name: Andrew Walton
• Position of director: Group Corporate Affairs Director
• Nature of transaction: Partnership shares and matching shares
• Date of transaction: 11 July 2022
• Amount bought: 71 @ £0.42
• Amount received: 105 @ nil
• Total value: £29.96

Vodafone

Vodafone (LSE: VOD) is is a British multinational telecommunications company. It predominantly operates services in Asia, Africa, Europe, and Oceania. A significant director exercised their options to purchase Vodafone shares this week.

• Name: Nick Read
• Position of director: Chief Executive Officer
• Nature of transaction: Purchase of shares (Vodafone Sharesave Plan)
• Date of transaction: 11 July 2022
• Amount bought: 22,352 @ £1.01
• Total value: £22,499.52

Types of shares in a SIP

To provide context, there are a few types of shares within a company’s share incentive plan (SIP). A SIP is an employee plan for companies within the UK to flexibly award equity to employees. Publicly listed companies normally exercise this option because it’s tax-efficient for both the employer and its employees.

In this week’s dealings, directors at Rolls-Royce opted to purchase shares under a share purchase plan. This is a form of capital raising by Rolls-Royce which offers shareholders the opportunity to apply for new, additional shares.

As for Lloyds, the director dealings occurred with partnership shares and matching shares. Partnership shares give employees the opportunity to buy shares via deductions from their salary, before tax deductions. But where partnership shares are offered, the company can also offer matching shares, as was the case. This can range up to a maximum ratio of two free matching shares per partnership share purchased. Nonetheless, it’s important to note that matching shares must normally be held in a trust for at least three years, and held for five years in order to receive a full tax relief. However, these shares may be forfeited if an employee withdraws their partnership shares from the trust.

Finally, in the case of Nick Read, the CEO exercised his options to purchase shares under the Vodafone Share Save Plan. These options are exercisable five years from the savings contract start date, provided that the required monthly savings were made.

The post Director dealings: Rolls-Royce, Lloyds, Vodafone appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

More reading

• Is there any value left in Lloyds shares now they’re over £1?
• After huge new nuclear deals, are Rolls-Royce’s sub-£15 shares set to power higher?
• Here are 2 FTSE shares I’m excited about this July — and 1 I’m avoiding
• Here’s how much I think Rolls-Royce shares will be worth by the end of 2027
• Could small modular reactors take Rolls-Royce shares to the next level?

John Choong has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group and Vodafone. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

The Lloyds (LSE:LLOY) share price is suffering along with other top finance shares in the UK. Rampant inflation is forcing global economies to raise interest rates. Today, news broke that the US government is considering another increase after it rolled out its largest hike in 28 years just last month. Here in the UK, the Bank of England has suggested that inflation could hit 11% in October.

And now, a new Covid lockdown in China is rekindling concerns from 2021. This could trigger another mini-collapse, causing shares to dip further. But I think preparing for a crash is the best investing strategy I have learnt in the last two years. Given the current economic climate, should I consider adding cut-price Lloyds shares to my portfolio if markets slide further? 

The bull case 

Yes, interest rate hikes mean banks will generate more cash on past and future loans. And for Britain’s largest lender, this is a welcome boost. And the recent analyst estimates for Lloyds look flat but I also see some positives. 

Currently, the estimates suggest that overall annual revenue from 2022-26 will remain between £4.5bn and £4.7bn. This tells me that the overall cash flow could remain stable, which is a good sign for Lloyds’ dividend. And Lloyds shares receive high investor interest throughout the year, largely thanks to its robust 4.75% dividend yield. 

Another positive I see over the next few years is an increase in business loans. Historically, periods of inflation have led to higher rates of borrowing among small and medium-sized businesses. And this ties in well with free cash generated. The Lloyds dividend has an earnings cover of 3.7 times, which is a strong sign that the company can sustain its current yield. And given the estimates for the next few years, I think I can expect a steady payout from Lloyds shares, which would make it a bargain on paper.

The bear case

While banking stocks stand to earn from more than one source, increased interest rates are not a good sign for the UK economy. Consumer goods brands are already seeing smaller baskets and measured spending as budgeting becomes a priority. And the housing boom in the UK looks like it is slowing down. This is bad news, particularly for Lloyds shares. 

We could just be entering a cyclical housing bear market in the UK after a decade of high demand. Lloyds bank earns a major chunk of its revenue from housing mortgages and it also recently invested in residential plots in the UK. This move could easily backfire with a housing collapse. And the Lloyds share price could fall as a result, which puts my investment at risk of falling into a value trap. 

The current instability is a big red flag for me and is keeping me from investing in any finance share in the FTSE 100. Yes, I think Lloyds is a strong business that will continue to generate cash for the foreseeable future. But other exciting areas are cropping up in the UK that could be better for my portfolio. I am looking at some top UK energy and tech shares right now. And I am steering clear of Lloyds and other finance stocks at the moment while looking for signs of a recovery.

The post At 42p, are Lloyds shares a bargain or a value trap? appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

More reading

• Is there any value left in Lloyds shares now they’re over £1?
• Prediction: this UK growth stock will outperform Lloyds shares over the next 5 years
• Barclays, NatWest or Lloyds shares: which is the better pick for a UK retirement portfolio?
• Here’s how much I think Lloyds shares will be worth by the end of 2027
• How to target a tax-free passive income of £1,275 a month on top of your State Pension

Suraj Radhakrishnan has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Lloyds (LSE: LLOY) shares have underperformed throughout the first half of 2022. Down 15% year-to-date, the share price is currently sitting at an underwhelming 42p. Broadening the time horizon to 12 months, Lloyds stock has fallen over 7% in value. In today’s weak market, I’m on the lookout for hidden gems – is Lloyds one of them? Let’s take a look.

A double-edged sword

Interest rates are rising in the UK and are pivotal for the way that Lloyds conducts its business. The Bank of England is raising rates to combat red hot inflation, which reached 7.9% year-on-year in May. Inflation has come after a boom in spending, mainly fuelled by the government’s fiscal stimulus to ease the pandemic’s economic impact.  

Higher interest rates should slow down consumer spending. But while this should also slow down inflation, it can plunge the economy into recession. If a recession happens, it could be bad news for Lloyds. It could result in less mortgage lending — something the UK’s biggest mortgage provider would want to avoid.

The cost-of-living crisis is also weighing on everyday spending and could put pressure both on customer willingness to take out new loans and on their ability to make existing loan repayments. Lloyds voiced its concern regarding a rise in potential loan defaults in its Q1 2022 update, so this risk seems like a real possibility.

However, a positive of higher rates is that it can charge higher rates on its loans. In addition to this, for the first three months of 2022, the bank’s loan book reportedly grew by over £3bn, while mortgages rose just under £2bn. If the bank’s loan volumes are growing, and the rate at which it can charge interest on these loans is also going up, then Lloyds could be in a good place.

Lloyds shares valuation

The shares are currently trading at a modest price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 5. This is well under the ‘value’ barometer of 10. It’s also comfortably under the UK average bank P/E ratio of 8.8, signifying the shares might be undervalued.

At 42p each, the stock yields a 4.7% dividend, which would be some nice passive income for my portfolio. In addition to this, City analysts have predicted a steady rise in dividends over the next few years. In 2023 and 2024 the dividends are expected to be 2.6p and 2.8p, respectively. If I bought some shares at today’s price of 42p, that would land me some healthy yields of 6.1% and 6.7%.   

The verdict

I think Lloyds shares look cheap and the dividend does entice me. However, with so much uncertainty regarding the UK economy, I’m not convinced about buying the stock just yet. Rising rates could help Lloyds, but could also hinder its performance if loan defaults grow. Only time will tell. For that reason, I won’t be buying the shares today.

The post Lloyds shares are down 15%: should I buy now? appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

More reading

• Is there any value left in Lloyds shares now they’re over £1?
• Prediction: this UK growth stock will outperform Lloyds shares over the next 5 years
• Barclays, NatWest or Lloyds shares: which is the better pick for a UK retirement portfolio?
• Here’s how much I think Lloyds shares will be worth by the end of 2027
• How to target a tax-free passive income of £1,275 a month on top of your State Pension

Dylan Hood has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Having risen 31% in 2021, the Lloyds (LSE: LLOY) share price is on its way back down. The stock dropped below 50p in late February and is now at risk of entering the 30p-40p range. With a potential recession on the cards, this could be a possibility.

Interesting developments

In theory, bank stocks should benefit from interest rate rises. This is because they can charge higher interest rates for lending money, thus giving them higher margins. And because of Lloyds’ healthy reserves, it’s been able to keep interest rates it pays out for savings accounts at an all-time low, while charging customers more for loans. As such, I would normally expect its share price to rally. Nonetheless, the opposite has happened. So, why’s that been the case?

The roof’s caving in

In its last trading update, the bank included a table that consisted of prudent economic scenarios. It listed several conditions that have to be met in order for the company to benefit from rising interest rates.

Based on the current economic data and forecasts, Britain’s biggest bank has some upside potential. GDP for 2022 is set to be in line with or better than its various scenarios at 3.5%. Interest rates are expected to increase by more than 1.39%, and the unemployment rate should remain below 4%. However, that’s where the positives end.

The Bank of England (BoE) expects inflation to peak at 11% this year. But more importantly, both the Halifax and Rightmove‘s house price index have indicated that house price growth is beginning to stall. If this continues, it would fail to meet Lloyds’ projections of HPI growth and CRE price growth, endangering its projections. Given that most of its revenue stems from property-related loans, a slower home loans market could offset potential gains from higher interest rates.

Handouts in jeopardy

The FTSE 100 firm currently has a dividend yield of slightly more than 4%, which is above the index’s average. If I’d bought in hopes of a bigger payment at the next declaration date as a result of better margins, I could be disappointed.

Earlier this week, the BoE released its latest Financial Stability Report. It said UK lenders appear to be resilient. Nevertheless, major UK banks would have to set aside more cash to absorb any shocks in the financial markets from next year.

Lloyds will have to raise its buffer for bad debts. The group had already set aside £178m to cover potential customer defaults in Q1, but this is set to increase due to the BoE’s guidance. Consequently, I think its dividend payments might not increase by a huge margin. I could be wrong though. Analysts are forecasting its dividend to grow by 16.1% in the coming year. This may earn me some passive income if I were to invest.

For me, investing in Lloyds is like investing in the British economy and its property market. Economic projections from the World Bank and OECD are less than bullish for the UK currently. Then there’s sky-high inflation and a potential housing market decline that won’t do Lloyds’ top line much good. For those reasons, I won’t be investing in Lloyds shares, as I think its share price could drop below 40p soon.

The post Is the Lloyds share price about to dip below 40p? appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

More reading

• Is there any value left in Lloyds shares now they’re over £1?
• Prediction: this UK growth stock will outperform Lloyds shares over the next 5 years
• Barclays, NatWest or Lloyds shares: which is the better pick for a UK retirement portfolio?
• Here’s how much I think Lloyds shares will be worth by the end of 2027
• How to target a tax-free passive income of £1,275 a month on top of your State Pension

John Choong has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Lloyds

Lloyds (LSE: LLOY) is one of Britain’s biggest financial institutions. It earns the bulk of its revenue from mortgage loans. This week, a large number of director dealings occurred with Lloyds shares going both ways.

• Name: Charlie Nunn
• Position of director: Chief Executive Officer
• Nature of transaction: Free shares
• Date of transaction: 22 June 2022
• Amount purchased: 312,313 @ £0.43
• Total value: £135,843.66

• Name: William Chalmers
• Position of director: Chief Financial Officer
• Nature of transaction: Free shares
• Date of transaction: 22 June 2022
• Amount purchased: 149,910 @ £0.43
• Total value: £65,204.85

• Name: Antonio Lorenzo
• Position of director: Chief Executive Officer (Scottish Widows)
• Nature of transaction: Free shares
• Date of transaction: 22 June 2022
• Amount purchased: 148,661 @ £0.43
• Total value: £64,661.59

• Name: Antonio Lorenzo
• Position of director: Chief Executive Officer (Scottish Widows)
• Nature of transaction: Disposal of shares
• Date of transaction: 22 June 2022
• Amount sold: 150,000 @ £0.44
• Total value: £65,457.30

• Name: Vim Maru
• Position of director: Retail Group Director
• Nature of transaction: Free shares
• Date of transaction: 22 June 2022
• Amount purchased: 148,661 @ £0.43
• Total value: £64,661.59

• Name: David Oldfield
• Position of director: Commercial Banking Group Director
• Nature of transaction: Free shares
• Date of transaction: 22 June 2022
• Amount purchased: 145,746 @ £0.43
• Total value: £63,393.68

• Name: Janet Pope
• Position of director: Chief of Staff and Sustainable Business Group Director
• Nature of transaction: Free shares
• Date of transaction: 22 June 2022
• Amount purchased: 104,104 @ £0.43
• Total value: £45,281.08

• Name: Stephen Shelley
• Position of director: Chief Risk Officer
• Nature of transaction: Free shares
• Date of transaction: 22 June 2022
• Amount purchased: 147,828 @ £0.43
• Total value: £64,299.27

• Name: Andrew Walton
• Position of director: Group Corporate Affairs Director
• Nature of transaction: Free shares
• Date of transaction: 22 June 2022
• Amount purchased: 104,104 @ £0.43
• Total value: £45,281.08

Taylor Wimpey

Taylor Wimpey (LSE: TW) is one of the UK’s biggest residential developers. Both the Taylor Wimpey CEO and Chairman bought a large sum of Taylor Wimpey shares this week. This course of action hopes to shore up investor sentiment amid slowing house price growth.

• Name: Irene Dorner
• Position of director: Chairman
• Nature of transaction: Purchase of shares
• Date of transaction: 22 June 2022
• Amount purchased: 21,750 @ £1.15
• Total value: £25,016.20

• Name: Jennie Daly
• Position of director: Chief Executive Officer
• Nature of transaction: Purchase of shares
• Date of transaction: 22 June 2022
• Amount purchased: 21,509 @ £1.15
• Total value: £24,812.57

Berkeley

Berkeley (LSE: BKG)  is another one of Britain’s biggest housebuilders. The FTSE 100 firm reported a decent set of results this week. However, this wasn’t enough, as the Berkeley share price slid downwards. Nonetheless, a large set of director dealings and institutional buying amounted to millions of pounds in Berkeley shares. This should boost investor sentiment in the long-term, despite slowing house price growth.

• Name: William and Jane Jackson
• Position of director: Non-Executive Director and Person Closely Associated to Non-Executive Director
• Nature of transaction: Purchase of shares
• Date of transaction: 22 June 2022
• Amount purchased: 16,148 @ £36.57
• Total value: £590,566.42

• Name: Robert Perrins and Vanessa Perrins as Trustees of the Robert Perrins Discretionary Settlement
• Position of director: Person(s) Closely Associated to Rob Perrins (Berkeley Chief Executive Officer)
• Nature of transaction: Purchase of shares
• Date of transaction: 22 June 2022
• Amount purchased: 50,000 @ £36.57
• Total value: £1,847,644.75

• Name: Michael Dobson
• Position of director: Non-Executive Director
• Nature of transaction: Purchase of shares
• Date of transaction: 22 June 2022
• Amount purchased: 4,000 @ £36.17
• Total value: £144,686.56

• Name: Julia Barker
• Position of director: Person Closely Associated with Glyn Barker (Berkeley Chairman)
• Nature of transaction: Purchase of shares
• Date of transaction: 22 June 2022
• Amount purchased: 1,950 @ £37.27
• Total value: £72,669.37

Types of shares in a SIP

To provide context, there are a few types of shares within a company’s share incentive plan (SIP). A SIP is an employee plan for companies within the UK to flexibly award equity to employees. Publicly listed companies normally exercise this option because it’s tax-efficient for both the employer and its employees.

In this instance, most of the director dealings at Lloyds occurred with free shares. These shares were acquired by directors under the Lloyds fixed share award scheme. Share award schemes give employees actual shares rather than share options. The value of shares given to directors here are treated as employment income. This means that they may be subject to tax and national insurance contributions. That is unless they opt for an HMRC-approved share scheme, which has its own rules and requirements.

The post Director dealings: Lloyds, Taylor Wimpey, Berkeley appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

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John Choong has no position in any of the shares mentioned at the time of writing. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Lloyds

As Lloyds (LSE: LLOY) continues its share buyback programme, the British bank has seen its stock price increase by 3% this week. A hawkish Bank of England has been stoking uncertainty surrounding Lloyds’ future. This arguably led to a number of director dealings happening this week.

Most notably, Lloyds’ CFO William Chalmers and Chief of Staff Janet Pope purchased a large number of shares. However, Group Corporate Affairs Director Andrew Walton and Scottish Widows Chief Executive Antonio Lorenzo also sold a substantial number of shares.

• Name: William Chalmers (Chief Financial Officer)
• Nature of transaction: DRIP shares
• Date of transaction: 20 May 2022
• Amount purchased: 168,865 @ £0.44
• Total value: £74,409.46

• Name: Antonio Lorenzo (Chief Executive, Scottish Widows and Group Director, Insurance and Wealth)
• Nature of transaction: DRIP shares
• Date of transaction: 19 May 2022
• Amount purchased: 884 @ £0.43
• Total value: £383.86

• Name: Antonio Lorenzo (Chief Executive, Scottish Widows and Group Director, Insurance and Wealth)
• Nature of transaction: Disposal of shares
• Date of transaction: 20 May 2022
• Amount sold: 250,000 @ £0.44
• Total value: £110,062.50

• Name: Vim Maru (Group Director, Retail)
• Nature of transaction: DRIP shares
• Date of transaction: 19 May 2022
• Amount purchased: 31 @ £0.43
• Total value: £13.46

• Name: Janet Pope (Chief of Staff and Group Director, Sustainable Business)
• Nature of transaction: DRIP shares
• Date of transaction: 19 May 2022 and 20 May 2022
• Amount purchased: 85,633 @ £0.44
• Total value: £37,735.00

• Name: Stephen Shelley (Chief Risk Officer)
• Nature of transaction: DRIP shares
• Date of transaction: 19 May 2022
• Amount purchased: 1,563 @ £0.43
• Total value: £678.70

• Name: Andrew Walton (Group Corporate Affairs Director)
• Nature of transaction: Disposal of shares
• Date of transaction: 19 May 2022
• Amount sold: 184,216 @ £0.43
• Total value: £79,986.68

IAG

The IAG (LSE: IAG) share price is up about 4% this week as the group announced a share buyback programme on Tuesday. Apart from that, a number of big director dealings occurred at IAG. Chairman and Iberia CEO Javier Sanchez-Prieto and CFO Nicholas Cadbury made the headlines. The latter had already received 1,473,207 shares as a part of IAG’s executive share plan, which will be vested in three tranches annually. Despite that, Cadbury still purchased more shares.

• Name: Javier Sanchez-Prieto (Chairman and CEO Iberia)
• Nature of transaction: Transfer of shares from one nominee account to another nominee account with no change of beneficial ownership
• Date of transaction: 23 May 2022
• Amount transferred: 181,014 @ Nil
• Total value: N/A

• Name: Nicholas Cadbury (Chief Financial Officer)
• Nature of transaction: Acquisition of shares
• Date of transaction: 24 May 2022
• Amount transferred: 254,979 @ £1.23
• Total value: £312,604.25

SSE

SSE (LSE: SSE) reported a decent set of numbers in its FY22 earnings this week. The firm generated profits of £1.5bn last year, and expects to make even more this year from high energy prices. But a windfall tax from the British government soured investor sentiment, sending the SSE share price down by almost 10%. Still, outgoing non-executive director Dame Angela Strank acquired a respectable number of shares.

• Name: Dame Angela Strank (Non-Executive Director)
• Nature of transaction: Acquisition of shares
• Date of transaction: 25 May 2022
• Amount transferred: 483 @ £18.49
• Total value: £8,929.14

Types of shares in a SIP

To provide context, there are a few types of shares within a company’s share incentive plan (SIP). A SIP is an employee plan for companies within the UK to flexibly award equity to employees. Publicly listed companies normally exercise this option because it’s tax-efficient for both the employer and its employees.

In this article’s instance, Lloyds’ director dealings used the dividends they received on SIP shares to reinvest into further Lloyds shares. It should be noted, though, that dividend shares must normally be held in the trust for at least three years to get full tax relief. On the other hand, IAG’s CFO received free shares as part of his compensation package.

The post Director dealings: Lloyds, IAG, SSE appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

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• How to target a tax-free passive income of £1,275 a month on top of your State Pension

John Choong has no position in any of the shares mentioned at the time of writing. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Lloyds

The Lloyds share price had dived 2% when these transactions were reported. But that didn’t stop a number of insiders purchasing shares via the company’s share incentive plan (SIP).” A SIP is an employee plan for companies within the UK to award equity to employees flexibly. Publicly listed companies normally exercise this option because it’s tax-efficient for both the employer and its employees.

Breaking down the director dealings, it seems that all but Harmeen Mehta purchased shares via Lloyds’ SIP. Within certain transactions, there are partnership shares and matching shares. The former is an invitation to buy shares via deductions from salary pre-tax and National Insurance Contributions (NIC). The latter is an add-on to when partnership shares are offered, where a company matches the number of partnership shares of up to a maximum ratio of two-to-one. Matching shares must normally be held in a trust for at least three years, and held for five to get a full tax relief.

Rolls-Royce

Rolls-Royce had a rather eventful week. Prior to reporting its Q1 2022 trading update, the firm had a slew of director dealings that were reported on Monday and Wednesday. Most notably, a number of high profile directors and executives redeemed and offloaded a large number of shares. Under any other circumstances, this would send alarm bells ringing. Nevertheless, these sales were attributed to covering tax liabilities. As such, it shows that directors are still relatively confident in the company’s future.

BP

After BP reported record profits last week, many were calling for a windfall tax on the oil giant. Such a tax would hinder future investment by the company as any profits would be heavily taxed, thus limiting its earnings potential. That being said, BP directors were unfazed. CEO and Director Bernard Looney, as well as Julia Emanuele, opted to purchase more shares under the firm’s ShareMatch UK Plan, albeit in small amounts.

The post Director dealings: Lloyds, Rolls-Royce, BP appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

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John Choong has no position in any of the shares mentioned at the time of writing. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Lloyds (LSE: LLOY) is the UK’s biggest mortgage lender. Since the Bank of England (BoE) opted to increase interest rates to combat inflation, the Lloyds share price has been a volatile affair. This is because many investors are wary that further rate hikes could exacerbate the current cost of living crisis and the number of mortgages being taken up, which would negatively impact Lloyd’s bottom line.

Home is where the money is

With mortgages accounting for a staggering 71% of its total loans, the Lloyds share price is heavily reliant on how well the housing market does. While higher interest rates normally lead to higher revenue, more expensive mortgages should also cool the housing market down. Fortunately for Lloyds, recent housing data has shown incredible strength. Since December of last year, the average house price has gone up by 5%, according to Nationwide. Despite that, overall mortgage lending and approvals continue to see uptrends.

So why is the Lloyds stock crashing today then? Well, given how investors are always forward looking, there’s an element of fear that this bubble could soon burst. House price growth seems to be decelerating in the most recent Nationwide monthly data. It was seen growing at its slowest pace in seven months. With the BoE expected to continue its rate hikes after it raised rates to 1% today, there is definitely an air of worry about what lies ahead for the housing market.

It’s getting cold

Higher interest rates are a double-edged sword. They’re great for banks because it gives them a larger allowance to loan out more money. However, there’s always a risks that if interest rates get too high, it could end up having a net negative effect on banks. Consumers may end up borrowing less or default on their loans, which would impact Lloyds’ top line.

The British bank’s most recent Q1 results showed that it has set aside £178m to cover potential customer defaults. Upon assessing Lloyds’ balance sheet, I’m equally worried about a slew of bad debt brewing. The percentage of stage 2 and 3 loans has increased since Q4 2021, flashing warning signs for me. These are basically loans that have deteriorated significantly in credit quality and risks not getting repaid.

Inflated expectations

Nonetheless, Lloyds is cautious but optimistic about the British economy, providing a positive outlook in its Q1 results. Its interim management statement projects a 30% upside, as long as interest rates stay below 1.39% and inflation peaks at 7.6%. I’m doubtful that this will happen as the BoE continues to raise interest rates. The central bank itself expects inflation to peak at 10% later this year.

So, although Lloyds’ asset quality remains strong and well positioned, its low allowance for bad loans doesn’t give me confidence. Its 4% dividend yield may be tempting, but it doesn’t change the fact that Lloyds also has a history of underperforming. With the rate cycle far from over, I don’t see much of an upside to the Lloyds share price. As such, I won’t be buying shares for my portfolio.

The post What comes next for the Lloyds share price? appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

More reading

• Is there any value left in Lloyds shares now they’re over £1?
• Prediction: this UK growth stock will outperform Lloyds shares over the next 5 years
• Barclays, NatWest or Lloyds shares: which is the better pick for a UK retirement portfolio?
• Here’s how much I think Lloyds shares will be worth by the end of 2027
• How to target a tax-free passive income of £1,275 a month on top of your State Pension

John Choong has no position in any of the shares mentioned at the time of writing. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.