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        <title>Michael Hawkins, Author at The Twelfth Magpie</title>
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	<url>https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/cropped-Magpie_Icon_Black_RGB-1-32x32.png</url>
	<title>Michael Hawkins, Author at The Twelfth Magpie</title>
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                                <title>Will dividend income from National Grid shares help me pay my energy bill?</title>
                <link>https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/11/16/will-dividend-income-from-national-grid-shares-help-me-pay-my-energy-bill/</link>
                                <pubDate>Wed, 16 Nov 2022 14:52:36 +0000</pubDate>
                <dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Hawkins]]></dc:creator>
                		<category><![CDATA[Investing Articles]]></category>

                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/?p=1175872</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<p>There is a certain poetic justice in offsetting increasing energy costs with dividends from energy companies. Do National Grid shares fit the bill?</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/11/16/will-dividend-income-from-national-grid-shares-help-me-pay-my-energy-bill/">Will dividend income from National Grid shares help me pay my energy bill?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">My household energy bills are obviously going up. They may even increase by more than 60% and be some of the most expensive in Europe (depending on where you research such things). Given that energy companies are reporting such huge profits this year, it is tempting to think that holding their stock could provide me with some much-needed income and help me keep the central heating on. <strong>National Grid</strong> (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/tickers/lse-ng/">LSE: NG</a>) shares at first look appear a possible candidate.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Solid utility company</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There does indeed seem to be plenty to like about the company. It is an established utility company enjoying almost monopoly status. This implies it is a safe-haven stock with steady, reliable cash flow and, one would think, strong pricing power.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">As well as in the UK, it also has extensive operations in Northeast America that account for some 40% of the group’s assets. This provides some useful US dollar revenue at a time when sterling is floundering.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Most crucially it has just reported half-year revenues of £9.4bn, up £2.5bn from the previous year, with interim operating profits up 50%. This should translate into an expected <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/investing-basics/how-to-value-shares/dividend-yield/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">dividend yield</a> of some 6%.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">There are, however, some important caveats</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Firstly, National Grid is not strictly an energy company. It is an energy distribution company. It charges energy suppliers a fee for its services, but importantly those fees are linked to inflation. Since energy costs are a critical part of the inflation calculation, those fees, and hence revenue, should closely track the energy price.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">As for that monopoly status, National Grid is subject to all manner of political and regulatory pressures. Not just in possible windfall taxes but potentially how much it can charge its customers.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-it-s-less-about-income-more-about-inflation">It’s less about income, more about inflation</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There is no doubt that the 6% yield appears attractive. However, that sort of return is not likely to contribute materially towards my increased energy costs. That said, I think I may be missing the bigger picture here. </p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">With revenue linked to inflationary increases in energy and a management team committed to keeping its dividend in line with inflation, National Grid shares could provide me a reliable inflation hedge.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It is, after all, not just increasing energy bills that is making me poorer. It is the steady, persistent eroding effect of <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/personal-finance/your-money/guides/what-is-inflation/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">inflation</a> that is reducing my spending power. As of this morning, we hear that it has hit the eye-watering level of 11.1%. Under such conditions, my investment priority is to find stocks that can pass increasing costs onto their consumers. National Grid is one such company.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">National Grid shares will go ex-dividend on 24<sup>th </sup>November. So, the time for me to decide to buy is soon!</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/11/16/will-dividend-income-from-national-grid-shares-help-me-pay-my-energy-bill/">Will dividend income from National Grid shares help me pay my energy bill?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
<p><strong>More reading</strong></p><ul><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/01/starting-with-very-little-heres-how-to-target-367965-from-the-stock-market/">Starting with very little, here&#8217;s how to target £367,965 from the stock market</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/29/close-to-record-highs-heres-why-the-national-grid-share-price-still-has-room-to-surge/">Close to record highs, here&#8217;s why the National Grid share price still has room to surge</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/27/how-many-national-grid-shares-does-an-investor-need-to-earn-1000-a-year-in-dividends/">How many National Grid shares does an investor need to earn £1,000 a year in dividends?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/26/at-almost-13-each-are-national-grid-shares-still-a-bargain-for-dividend-income/">At almost £13 each, are National Grid shares still a bargain for dividend income?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/26/could-soaring-temperatures-be-bad-news-for-the-national-grid-dividend/">Could soaring temperatures be bad news for the National Grid dividend?</a></li></ul><p><em>Michael Hawkins has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/help/disclaimer/what-does-it-mean-to-be-motley/">us better investors.</a></em></p>
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                                <title>Buying Rio Tinto shares could be the ultimate contrarian investment</title>
                <link>https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/11/08/buying-rio-tinto-shares-could-be-the-ultimate-contrarian-investment/</link>
                                <pubDate>Tue, 08 Nov 2022 15:11:10 +0000</pubDate>
                <dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Hawkins]]></dc:creator>
                		<category><![CDATA[Investing Articles]]></category>

                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/?p=1174513</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<p>Rio Tinto shares are a bellwether for the broader global economy. Given all the growing negative economic sentiment, I think it might soon be time to buy. </p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/11/08/buying-rio-tinto-shares-could-be-the-ultimate-contrarian-investment/">Buying Rio Tinto shares could be the ultimate contrarian investment</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
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                                                                                            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<img width="1400" height="787" src="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Enjoying-retirement.jpg" class="attachment-rss-thumbnail size-rss-thumbnail wp-post-image" alt="A senior group of friends enjoying rowing on the River Derwent" style="float:left; margin:0 15px 15px 0;" decoding="async" />
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Rio Tinto </strong>(<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/tickers/lse-rio/">LSE: RIO</a>) shares have struggled to keep pace with the broader market recovery that has followed the pandemic lows of March 2020. This appears entirely logical. Rio Tinto is a mining company that provides commodities critical to economic expansion, such as major infrastructure projects. Given the headlines are dominated by talk of recession and persistent <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/personal-finance/your-money/guides/what-is-inflation/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">inflation</a>, it does indeed seem to be a stock for me to avoid.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">However, I think that by focussing on just two global indicators, I might be able to invest in this stock at a very favourable price while everyone else remains defensive.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Firstly, it’s all about the dollar</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">To remark that the present economic environment is confusing for investors would be an understatement. But there is one asset that has performed consistently, and that is the US dollar. Its rise has been relentless. Commodities are priced globally in dollars, so as the dollar rises, the price of those commodities drops. By extension, this impacts profits at Rio Tinto</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Additionally, a strong US dollar is detrimental to those many countries that hold their debt in dollars. This means a larger proportion of their capital expenditure is spent on debt repayments rather than building projects. Hence large-scale demand for commodities remains soft.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Therefore, my working assumption is that if the dollar’s trend starts to show signs of a reversal, this would be beneficial to Rio Tinto.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">And secondly, China</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">No country has absorbed more raw materials than China. Its inexorable growth has been breath-taking. But that all came to a halt during the pandemic and China’s uncompromising zero-Covid policy.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">China is the world’s largest importer of iron ore, which makes up two-thirds of Rio Tinto’s operations.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In other words, all I need to do is to monitor any future weakness in the dollar and look for encouraging signs that China is building again. A combination of these two factors should, in theory, provide a significant boost to the Rio Tinto share price.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-so-when-to-buy">So when to buy?</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the past week the US Federal Reserve has hinted that interest rate rises may start to slow. This has already allowed some currencies to appreciate against the US dollar. Then over the weekend we hear reports out of China that Covid restrictions may be relaxed and steps will be taken to re-open the economy.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">None of these factors are by any means a certainty. But I do believe that monitoring both Federal Reserve and China policy could prove advantageous.&nbsp; Buying shares in Rio Tinto could then indeed provide me with a head-start on any economic recovery.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And if I buy the shares too early? With a respectable present <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/investing-basics/how-to-value-shares/dividend-yield/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">dividend yield</a> of 11.5%, that will certainly help me ride out any drawdown.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/11/08/buying-rio-tinto-shares-could-be-the-ultimate-contrarian-investment/">Buying Rio Tinto shares could be the ultimate contrarian investment</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
<p><strong>More reading</strong></p><ul><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/02/the-only-ftse-100-stock-i-own-right-now/">The only FTSE 100 stock I own right now</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/30/3-ftse-100-shares-to-consider-buying-in-june-and-holding-for-a-decade/">3 FTSE 100 shares to consider buying in June and holding for a decade</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/26/are-ftse-100-shares-still-overlooked-and-undervalued/">Are FTSE 100 shares still overlooked and undervalued?</a></li></ul><p><em>Michael Hawkins has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/help/disclaimer/what-does-it-mean-to-be-motley/">us better investors.</a></em></p>
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                                <title>Am I too late to buy Shell shares?</title>
                <link>https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/11/02/am-i-too-late-to-buy-shell-shares/</link>
                                <pubDate>Wed, 02 Nov 2022 14:27:55 +0000</pubDate>
                <dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Hawkins]]></dc:creator>
                		<category><![CDATA[Investing Articles]]></category>

                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/?p=1173393</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<p>Shell shares have responded positively to some excellent company results. It is human nature to assume the best time to buy the stock has now gone. </p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/11/02/am-i-too-late-to-buy-shell-shares/">Am I too late to buy Shell shares?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
]]></description>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There is an overused expression in investing that simply states “timing is everything”. On that basis, therefore, should I assume that I have now missed the boat in terms of adding<strong> Shell</strong> (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/tickers/lse-shel/">LSE: SHEL</a>) shares to my portfolio? Its impressive quarterly results were released last week, and the price of the stock has consequently risen without me as a participant.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is typical of the types of emotions that accompany any investment decision, and it is imperative that I recognise it as such. But once viewed dispassionately, Shell shares appear to me to be just as attractive today as they were a month (or more) ago.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Remove the emotions, focus on the facts</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/investing-basics/how-to-value-shares/how-to-value-oil-and-gas-shares/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">The oil and gas sector</a> is in a bull market. This statement itself appears counterintuitive. Are we not conditioned to believe that “dirty” energy is in decline and petroleum companies are old-school? Surely the next big investment play is in green energy and <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/investing-basics/market-sectors/investing-in-renewable-energy-stocks-in-the-uk/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">renewables</a>?</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Possibly, but price charts and corporate results tend not to lie. Yesterday’s results from <strong>BP</strong> are further evidence of this. The sector is thriving, providing both significant capital gains and market-beating income returns to investors.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">I still need to remind myself of potential pitfalls</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">While it may be easy to focus on the favourable fundamentals, I am aware that the very success of Shell is likely to bring it front and centre to the attention of governments looking to plug holes in their budgets. Talks of windfall taxes are by no means limited to the UK. Similar debates are being held in countries that include Germany, the Netherlands, and North America.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Additionally, companies such as Shell face ongoing challenges in the environmental and geopolitical arena such as when and where to drill.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Sentiment towards the sector appears to be at an all-time low.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">And there lies the opportunity for continued growth</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">All these headwinds add up to one thing: a lack of supply. Even before the invasion of Ukraine, declining investment &#8212; driven in part by ESG (Environmental, Social and Governance) mandates &#8212; ensured that new sources of oil and gas were not coming online.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So, even when considering a future decline in economic activity, I believe supply will continue to fall short. To me, this simply means higher prices and consequently higher profits for shareholders.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-timing-the-market-is-over-rated">Timing the market is over-rated</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">As an investor I have been conditioned to “buy low, sell high”; something I have found to be almost impossible to do consistently. Instead, what I really want to do is “buy high, sell higher”. That seems more achievable and hence more profitable. Critically, it reduces the emotional factors and forces me to be more objective when making investment decisions.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I have even conditioned myself to believe it was prudent to wait for Shell’s earnings report to come out before buying.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/11/02/am-i-too-late-to-buy-shell-shares/">Am I too late to buy Shell shares?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
<p><strong>More reading</strong></p><ul><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/31/are-bps-boardroom-struggles-a-good-argument-for-buying-shell-shares-instead/">Are BP’s boardroom struggles a good argument for buying Shell shares instead?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/23/1-of-the-uks-most-underrated-stocks/">1 of the UK&#8217;s most underrated stocks?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/21/how-exposed-is-the-shell-share-price-to-a-move-lower-in-oil/">How exposed is the Shell share price to a move lower in oil?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/18/down-11-from-its-one-year-high-is-shells-share-price-a-steal-after-stunning-q1-results/">Down 11% from its one-year high, is Shell’s share price a steal after stunning Q1 results?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/06/down-8-is-shells-share-price-a-steal-now-around-33/">Down 8%, is Shell’s share price a steal now around £33?</a></li></ul><p><em>Michael Hawkins has a position in BP. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/help/disclaimer/what-does-it-mean-to-be-motley/">us better investors.</a></em></p>
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                                <title>Have Tesco shares reached their sell-by date?</title>
                <link>https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/10/28/have-tesco-shares-reached-their-sell-by-date/</link>
                                <pubDate>Fri, 28 Oct 2022 12:13:03 +0000</pubDate>
                <dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Hawkins]]></dc:creator>
                		<category><![CDATA[Investing Articles]]></category>

                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/?p=1172021</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<p>Tesco shares appear to have fallen out of favour. However, I believe it is perhaps premature to dismiss this stock entirely. </p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/10/28/have-tesco-shares-reached-their-sell-by-date/">Have Tesco shares reached their sell-by date?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
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                                                                                            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<img width="1200" height="675" src="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Food-shopping.jpg" class="attachment-rss-thumbnail size-rss-thumbnail wp-post-image" alt="A mixed ethnicity couple shopping for food in a supermarket" style="float:left; margin:0 15px 15px 0;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Tesco</strong> (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/tickers/lse-tsco/">LSE: TSCO</a>) shares recently had the distinction of falling to price levels not seen since 2016. For a company as ubiquitous as Tesco, providing goods and services that we all need, that must raise some alarm bells for me. So, what is going on?</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The supermarket business is challenging</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Tesco’s dominance in the grocery sector is not in dispute. But this does not shield it from the larger challenges it now faces. The competition from lower cost rivals such as Lidl and Aldi are well documented. In fact, these chains reportedly are the fastest growing supermarkets in the UK. </p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Tesco has said in response that it has worked aggressively to close price gaps across a range of products, as well as imposing a price freeze on more than 1,000 items until 2023. </p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In my view, such efforts to maintain market share can only come at a cost to the bottom line.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Present economic conditions don’t help</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">While spending money on food is not necessarily considered discretionary, the present cost-of-living crises within a recessionary environment is bound to influence how much we spend. In fact, supermarkets are already suggesting that the coming Christmas period will not be “normal”. Consumer confidence is certainly impacting sales.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Such an operating environment accounts for a 64% drop in profits for Tesco in the first half of 2022, against a backdrop of rising costs, falling margins and inflationary pressures.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">So, what is the upside?</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I do believe that it is too early to dismiss Tesco as a potential investment for my portfolio. There is room for some optimism.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It is, despite poor trading conditions, on a more stable financial footing than many of its rivals. Its strong cash position implies it is better suited to outlast a price war. Then combine this with its enormous scale of operations and the subsequent buying power it enjoys with its suppliers.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Additionally, it has an effective loyalty system via its Clubcard membership. An impressive 20 million customers benefit from reduced prices on many products. Tesco has achieved this while also being particularly effective at capitalising on the growing online grocery business and now enjoys a 39.5% share in the UK.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Finally, the directors themselves have been buying stock in some volume. This to me indicates a vote of trust in their own company.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-potentially-both-a-growth-and-an-income-stock">Potentially both a growth and an income stock</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I do not know when the share price will recover, but I am assuming that most of the bad economic news has already been priced in. In the meantime, Tesco continues to maintain its policy of paying half its profits to shareholders. Presently the <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/investing-basics/how-to-value-shares/dividend-yield/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">dividend yield</a> sits at 5.12 % with a dividend cover of around 2.01. To my mind that could be an acceptable return while I wait patiently for the stock to perform.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/10/28/have-tesco-shares-reached-their-sell-by-date/">Have Tesco shares reached their sell-by date?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
<p><strong>More reading</strong></p><ul><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/02/no-longer-just-a-grocer-heres-how-a-shift-in-strategy-could-help-tesco-shares-hit-new-highs/">No longer just a grocer: here’s how a shift in strategy could help Tesco shares hit new highs</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/30/have-tesco-shares-got-anything-more-to-give/">Have Tesco shares got anything more to give?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/26/can-tesco-shares-break-through-the-5-barrier-again/">Can Tesco shares break through the £5 barrier again?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/20/here-are-the-latest-dividend-and-share-price-forecasts-for-tesco/">Here are the latest dividend and share price forecasts for Tesco</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/19/prediction-12-months-from-now-5000-invested-in-tesco-shares-could-be-worth/">Prediction: 12 months from now, £5,000 invested in Tesco shares could be worth…</a></li></ul><p><em>Michael Hawkins has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Tesco. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/help/disclaimer/what-does-it-mean-to-be-motley/">us better investors.</a></em></p>
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                                <title>Rolls-Royce shares are very unpopular. Here’s why I really want to buy them</title>
                <link>https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/10/20/rolls-royce-shares-are-very-unpopular-heres-why-i-really-want-to-buy-them/</link>
                                <pubDate>Thu, 20 Oct 2022 13:37:47 +0000</pubDate>
                <dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Hawkins]]></dc:creator>
                		<category><![CDATA[Investing Articles]]></category>

                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/?p=1170191</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<p>Rolls-Royce shares have consistently been shunned by investors. However, I think it might be finally time for this prestigious company to shine. </p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/10/20/rolls-royce-shares-are-very-unpopular-heres-why-i-really-want-to-buy-them/">Rolls-Royce shares are very unpopular. Here’s why I really want to buy them</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
]]></description>
                                                                                            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<img width="1400" height="787" src="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Happy-at-Christmas.jpg" class="attachment-rss-thumbnail size-rss-thumbnail wp-post-image" alt="Senior couple crossing the road on a city street. They are walking with shopping bags while Christmas shopping." style="float:left; margin:0 15px 15px 0;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Few price charts I find quite as disheartening as that depicting <strong>Rolls-Royce </strong>(<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/tickers/lse-rr/">LSE: RR</a>) shares. The company has endured a dreadful period of declining sales, loss-making divisions, senior management changes and company layoffs. Each time commentators and investors alike have predicted a potential turnaround, they have been disappointed.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">So, what is different this time?</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Rolls-Royce has invested vast amounts of capital to become one of the world’s largest aero-engine makers. It now enjoys some 50% of market share, mostly for wide-body aircraft. Surprisingly, Rolls-Royce sells its engines to airlines for a loss. The profits come from lucrative long-term service agreements where the company gets paid for each hour the engine is in the air.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The pandemic has meant that aircraft manufacturers have halted or delayed bringing new aircraft types to market. Consequently, Rolls-Royce does not have to spend resources designing and manufacturing new engines. Rather, I conclude, it can now enjoy the benefits of a resurgent demand for <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/investing-basics/market-sectors/investing-in-airline-stocks-in-the-uk/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">air travel</a> with less capital expenditure deployed on expensive research and development.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">But it’s not all about engines</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There are other facets of the Rolls-Royce product line that I see as benefiting from global macroeconomic trends. Building on its experience of manufacturing nuclear reactors for submarines, Rolls-Royce is ready to bring that expertise to constructing small modular nuclear reactors that cost a tenth of more conventional nuclear power stations. With many nations striving to pursue a zero-carbon energy policy, nuclear power is now enjoying a revival. Rolls-Royce claims its first “mini-nuke” could be online by the early 2030s.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Similarly, its defence arm is set to benefit from an increasingly unstable world.  As a leading supplier to governments on both sides of the Atlantic, I see these long-term contracts guarantying steady cash flow into the company.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-let-s-not-lose-sight-of-the-challenges">Let’s not lose sight of the challenges</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Despite all the positive signs for a potential turnaround, I must remind myself that Rolls-Royce still faces the same challenges many other companies do, namely cost inflation and supply chain disruptions. Additionally, this is a company that is not paying any dividends. In fact, it is barred from doing so until at least 2023 as part of its loan terms. Therefore, I am reliant on capital gains should I choose to invest.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">If this is the beginning of a Rolls-Royce renaissance, I want to be a part of it</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">To my mind, this historic company continues to push boundaries in terms of engineering, technology, and design. The fact that it continues to do so despite all the challenges it has faced is testament to its heritage. I do not know if its share price will now recover, but I do know that I want to buy when it does.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/10/20/rolls-royce-shares-are-very-unpopular-heres-why-i-really-want-to-buy-them/">Rolls-Royce shares are very unpopular. Here’s why I really want to buy them</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
<p><strong>More reading</strong></p><ul><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/up-1146-7-things-ive-learned-from-the-stunning-rolls-royce-share-price-comeback/">Up 1,146%! 7 things I’ve learned from the stunning Rolls-Royce share price comeback </a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/03/how-much-just-4280-invested-in-rolls-royce-shares-5-years-ago-is-worth-now/">How much just £4,160 invested in Rolls-Royce shares 5 years ago is worth now</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/02/is-the-best-still-to-come-for-rolls-royce-shares/">Is the best still to come for Rolls-Royce shares?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/01/can-the-rolls-royce-share-price-reach-15-97-by-the-end-of-august/">Can the Rolls-Royce share price reach £15.97 by the end of August?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/01/could-282693-investors-be-wrong-about-rolls-royce-shares/">Could 282,693 investors be wrong about Rolls-Royce shares?</a></li></ul><p><em>Michael Hawkins has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/help/disclaimer/what-does-it-mean-to-be-motley/">us better investors.</a></em></p>
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                                <title>Royal Mail shares have changed name. Will their fortunes change too?</title>
                <link>https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/10/15/royal-mail-shares-have-changed-name-will-their-fortunes-change-too/</link>
                                <pubDate>Sat, 15 Oct 2022 13:44:00 +0000</pubDate>
                <dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Hawkins]]></dc:creator>
                		<category><![CDATA[Investing Articles]]></category>

                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/?p=1168887</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<p>Royal Mail shares will now be traded as International Distributions Services. Whether this means a turnaround in the share price remains to be seen.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/10/15/royal-mail-shares-have-changed-name-will-their-fortunes-change-too/">Royal Mail shares have changed name. Will their fortunes change too?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
]]></description>
                                                                                            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<img width="1200" height="675" src="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/SelfEmployed.jpg" class="attachment-rss-thumbnail size-rss-thumbnail wp-post-image" alt="Entrepreneur on the phone." style="float:left; margin:0 15px 15px 0;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Back at the beginning of the year there was plenty to like about Royal Mail shares. The company was making money, and the dividend pay-out was healthy. Crucially, too, the company was debt free with good cash reserves.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Introducing International Distribution Services</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On October 4<sup>th</sup>, the holding company of the Royal Mail Group officially changed its name to <strong>International Distributions Services </strong>(<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/tickers/lse-ids/">LSE: IDS</a>). This name change occurs against a backdrop of a far more challenging time for the company. This is dominated by worsening labour relations, as the management continues to try to introduce efficiencies. There&#8217;s also inflationary pressures, including rising fuel costs.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">As I write this, a further 19 further days of industrial action is due to start. Possible job losses of 6,000 staff by March 2023 have been indicated as well. International Distribution Services is concerned that ongoing strike action will continue to erode its customer base. Consequently, the Board suggested in its most recent trading update that operating losses for the year could tumble to between £350m and £450m . The share price has reacted accordingly. It is now down some 64% since the start of the year and is approaching its pandemic lows of March 2020.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">So what is the good news?</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Given the dire trading conditions, why am I even looking at possibly investing in this company? The answer lies with its profitable Global Logistical Services (GLS) operation in Europe and N. America. This division focuses purely on parcel delivery, which continues to thrive, contrasting markedly to a declining letter-delivery business.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In the past, profits from GLS have been used to offset the losses at Royal Mail. The management is now suggesting that the formation of International Distributions Services might allow them to implement “clear financial separation with no cross-subsidy”. Given that in its latest update GLS was reported to be on track to deliver an <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/investing-basics/understanding-company-accounts/the-profit-and-loss-account/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">operating profit</a> of £320m-£354m, that separation is looking increasingly more likely.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">How much of this talk of breaking up the company is designed to bring a unionised and reluctant workforce to the table, I can only speculate on. However, I am aware that potentially there could be an opportunity soon to buy up shares of International Distributions Services at heavily discounted prices.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-is-it-time-to-buy">Is it time to buy?</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Now does not seem to be the time to invest, however. Talk of further industrial action and redundancies continue to dominate the narrative. The company has said that it is unable to give a clear outlook for the current financial year. That is going to deter potential investors. But I am keeping my eye on future developments and any possible catalyst for a reversal in the share price.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/10/15/royal-mail-shares-have-changed-name-will-their-fortunes-change-too/">Royal Mail shares have changed name. Will their fortunes change too?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
<p><strong>More reading</strong></p><ul><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/ftse-250-stock-cmcs-shares-have-rocketed-51-whats-going-on/'>FTSE 250 stock CMC&#8217;s shares have rocketed 51%! What&#8217;s going on?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/will-i-buy-spacex-at-100-a-share-in-my-sipp/'>Will I buy SpaceX at £100 a share in my SIPP?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/aberdeen-shares-are-back-in-the-ftse-100-is-this-turnaround-stock-just-getting-started/'>Aberdeen shares are back in the FTSE 100 — is this turnaround stock just getting started?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/down-65-with-a-5-65-yield-is-this-dividend-share-a-once-in-a-decade-buy/'>Down 65% with a 5.65% yield! Is this dividend share a once-in-a-decade buy? </a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/this-is-the-worst-ftse-100-share-over-5-years-should-i-sell-it/'>This is the worst FTSE 100 share over 5 years. Should I sell it?</a></li></ul><p><em>Michael Hawkins has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/help/disclaimer/what-does-it-mean-to-be-motley/">us better investors.</a></em></p>
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                                <title>The Taylor Wimpey share price is struggling. It might be time to buy</title>
                <link>https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/10/06/the-taylor-wimpey-share-price-is-struggling-it-might-be-time-to-buy/</link>
                                <pubDate>Thu, 06 Oct 2022 14:28:49 +0000</pubDate>
                <dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Hawkins]]></dc:creator>
                		<category><![CDATA[Investing Articles]]></category>

                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/?p=1166138</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<p>The Taylor Wimpey share price has just revisited its 2020 lows and the property market is under pressure. I think it might be the ultimate contrarian buy. </p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/10/06/the-taylor-wimpey-share-price-is-struggling-it-might-be-time-to-buy/">The Taylor Wimpey share price is struggling. It might be time to buy</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
]]></description>
                                                                                            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<img width="1200" height="675" src="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/UK-suburbs1.jpg" class="attachment-rss-thumbnail size-rss-thumbnail wp-post-image" alt="Sun setting over a traditional British neighbourhood." style="float:left; margin:0 15px 15px 0;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I imagine there would be many investors that would be wary of the property and construction industry. And they would have every reason to be. However, I do believe the <strong>Taylor Wimpey</strong> (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/tickers/lse-tw/">LSE: TW</a>) share price is worthy of careful consideration. To my mind further downside is limited, but potential upside could be substantial.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Headwinds abound</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">To be clear, there is little by way of positive news in the housebuilder sector. It is important to summarise some of the many factors that are reflected in share price’s poor performance.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Construction costs are rising. Supply chains are still not back to their usual pre-pandemic efficiency. Raw materials such as lumber, bricks and cement remain at elevated prices. Material cost increases of up to 24% are quoted by the industry.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">This is further exacerbated by shortage of labour, skilled and otherwise. This drives up wages as well as delaying completion dates, which can carry financial penalties.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On the demand side, we see a customer base that is reluctant to commit to more expensive mortgages on account of rising interest rates and a general inflationary increase in the cost of living. The ability to pass on increased costs to the customer is therefore limited.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Any bright spots at all?</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The main consideration here is that most of these threats to the industry have already been priced into the share price. Therefore, I am taking the view that any possible improvement in economic conditions, however fleeting, should be immediately reflected in a rising share price. What that might be is harder to quantify. It could potentially be a slowing or even a stall in interest rate rises or inflation. Or a softening in commodity prices, for example.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Should that occur, I believe Taylor Wimpey is well positioned to benefit. Its cash position, for instance, is strong. Consequently, it has the necessary reserves to add to its landbank at more competitive prices when the opportunity presents.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-an-income-favourite">An income favourite</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I believe that the most compelling argument for Taylor Wimpey’s future performance is that it is already a favoured <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/personal-finance/share-dealing/guides/should-i-buy-growth-or-income-shares/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">income stock</a>. Its declared interim dividend of 4.62p is up 8% from last year. </p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">With a healthy dividend cover of 2.10, there is more than sufficient cash flow in the company to cover these dividends. Additionally, with a present inflation-busting dividend yield of 9.22%, I am going to assume this stock is going to be on many investors’ shopping lists. </p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Therefore, my hypothesis is that as soon as we see some economic tailwinds, Taylor Wimpey will be one of the main beneficiaries of new funds flowing into a revitalised housebuilding sector. As such, I think it is time to commit some of my funds to this stock. And perhaps add further on any evidence that the current economic malaise may be changing for the better.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/10/06/the-taylor-wimpey-share-price-is-struggling-it-might-be-time-to-buy/">The Taylor Wimpey share price is struggling. It might be time to buy</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
<p><strong>More reading</strong></p><ul><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/30/down-55-with-an-11-75-yield-what-on-earths-the-matter-with-taylor-wimpey-shares/">Down 55% with an 11.75% yield – what on earth’s the matter with Taylor Wimpey shares? </a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/27/why-is-everyone-buying-taylor-wimpey-shares/">Why is everyone buying Taylor Wimpey shares?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/26/down-31-in-3-months-with-a-9-7-yield-are-taylor-wimpey-shares-too-cheap-to-ignore/">Down 31% in 3 months with a 9.7% yield, are Taylor Wimpey shares too cheap to ignore?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/23/expert-picks-2-uk-value-stocks-to-buy-in-may/">Expert picks: 2 UK value stocks to buy in May?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/05/05/how-much-passive-income-could-be-generated-from-274k-in-an-isa/">How much passive income could be generated from £274k in an ISA?</a></li></ul><p><em>Michael Hawkins has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/help/disclaimer/what-does-it-mean-to-be-motley/">us better investors.</a></em></p>
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                                <title>Markets are crashing. Is now the time to buy income stocks?</title>
                <link>https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/10/01/markets-are-crashing-is-now-the-time-to-buy-income-stocks/</link>
                                <pubDate>Sat, 01 Oct 2022 14:33:00 +0000</pubDate>
                <dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Hawkins]]></dc:creator>
                		<category><![CDATA[Investing Articles]]></category>

                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/?p=1164930</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<p>As markets deteriorate, the implication is that yields rise. So it makes sense to take advantage of these price drops and buy income stocks. Or does it?</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/10/01/markets-are-crashing-is-now-the-time-to-buy-income-stocks/">Markets are crashing. Is now the time to buy income stocks?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
]]></description>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">As humans, most of us are hard-wired to seek out bargains and offer ourselves a little self-congratulation each time we save ourselves some money. Supermarkets, for example, are aware of such consumer behaviour, and their aisles reflect that in their selective and aggressive discounting. Does the same principle really apply to income stocks?</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Using the dividend yield</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">One popular metric for finding profitable income stocks is the dividend yield. This is the value of the annual dividend per share divided by the current share price.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Many of those companies that I associate with reliable dividend payments are hitting or approaching their share price lows for the year. These would include the likes of <strong>Persimmon</strong>, <strong>Abrdn</strong> and <strong>Rio Tinto</strong>. Considering that the share price is the denominator of the dividend yield equation, then lower prices do  imply that this could be an excellent opportunity for me to buy these stocks at superior yields. For example, Persimmon, Abrdn and Rio Tinto presently offer an eye-watering dividend yield of 20%, 10.88% and 11.8% respectively.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Not the full story</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The problem with this is that it is a one-sided argument. It assumes that the annual dividend per share is maintained or only adjusted slightly. Given the challenges presently faced by many companies, that is a significant assumption. The fact remains that an increasing dividend yield may be singularly due to a falling share price rather than any superior commercial performance.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Dividend yield should not be viewed in isolation</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Take housebuilders, for example, which often feature prominently as popular <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/personal-finance/share-dealing/guides/should-i-buy-growth-or-income-shares/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">income stock investments</a>. The headwinds faced by such companies currently are significant and include rising material costs, shortage of labour and rising interest rates in a recessionary environment. It is hardly surprising that investors have been abandoning such stocks in droves.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So, while these stocks may appear to be discounted, further analysis suggests they may yet be discounted further. I won&#8217;t be buying any of the above three companies for my portfolio any time soon.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-pound-cost-averaging">Pound cost averaging</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I do not want to leave a bargain on the table, I am human after all. Fortunately, there is a rational compromise here. If I start to regularly drip-feed smaller investment amounts into these stocks, I am taking advantage of these lower prices while not committing all my capital to a stock that may fall further. This process of pound cost averaging can prove to be an effective way to build up profitable positions in solid companies over the longer term.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Additionally, I need to consider other fundamental metrics than simply dividend yield. Dividend cover, for example, can be a useful indicator of how affordable a company’s dividend pay-out is. This is calculated by taking the earning per share value and dividing it by the dividend payment per share. Any value of 2 or more is considered sustainable.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/10/01/markets-are-crashing-is-now-the-time-to-buy-income-stocks/">Markets are crashing. Is now the time to buy income stocks?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
<p><strong>More reading</strong></p><ul><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/ftse-250-stock-cmcs-shares-have-rocketed-51-whats-going-on/'>FTSE 250 stock CMC&#8217;s shares have rocketed 51%! What&#8217;s going on?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/will-i-buy-spacex-at-100-a-share-in-my-sipp/'>Will I buy SpaceX at £100 a share in my SIPP?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/aberdeen-shares-are-back-in-the-ftse-100-is-this-turnaround-stock-just-getting-started/'>Aberdeen shares are back in the FTSE 100 — is this turnaround stock just getting started?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/down-65-with-a-5-65-yield-is-this-dividend-share-a-once-in-a-decade-buy/'>Down 65% with a 5.65% yield! Is this dividend share a once-in-a-decade buy? </a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/this-is-the-worst-ftse-100-share-over-5-years-should-i-sell-it/'>This is the worst FTSE 100 share over 5 years. Should I sell it?</a></li></ul><p><em>Michael Hawkins has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/help/disclaimer/what-does-it-mean-to-be-motley/">us better investors.</a></em></p>
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                                <title>Why I believe these FTSE 100 stocks will continue to outperform</title>
                <link>https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/09/23/why-i-believe-these-ftse-100-stocks-will-continue-to-outperform/</link>
                                <pubDate>Fri, 23 Sep 2022 13:09:00 +0000</pubDate>
                <dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Hawkins]]></dc:creator>
                		<category><![CDATA[Investing Articles]]></category>

                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/?p=1163518</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<p>The markets are facing some significant economic headwinds. However, I believe some FTSE 100 stocks are well positioned to ride out the storm and potentially prosper in the process.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/09/23/why-i-believe-these-ftse-100-stocks-will-continue-to-outperform/">Why I believe these FTSE 100 stocks will continue to outperform</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
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                                                                                            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<img width="1400" height="787" src="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/Growth-chart.jpg" class="attachment-rss-thumbnail size-rss-thumbnail wp-post-image" alt="A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket." style="float:left; margin:0 15px 15px 0;" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">It’s easy for me to feel somewhat despondent over the state of the economy and the performance of my portfolio at present. Yet there is one driving macro-economic factor that suggests to me that some stocks listed on the <strong>FTSE 100</strong> could benefit.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">It all comes down to exchange rates</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The British pound has struggled and is presently at lows not seen since 1985. The real story here, however, is the increasing strength of the US dollar. This reflects the US Federal Reserve leading the way in raising interest rates, causing capital to flow to the dollar. A strong dollar is detrimental to companies that must pay for their raw materials in dollars, and therefore increases their costs that must then be passed onto the customer.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">However, the FTSE 100 is full of companies that export products and services overseas, and the weak pound makes their goods more attractive. One such company would be <strong>BAE Systems</strong>. Not only does it benefit from a weaker pound but also operates in an environment where defence spending is expected to remain robust given current geopolitics.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Energy and commodities are likely to benefit the most</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Another consideration is those companies that earn a significant proportion of their revenues overseas, and those profits are then repatriated back to the UK and converted to pounds. Oil and gas companies are obvious examples of this, as are mining and natural resource stocks. The benefits of favourable currency exchange can be significant.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Consider the performance of <strong>Shell</strong> and <strong>BP</strong>. Both have seen their share price hold up well against the broader indices. At first glance, this may appear odd when compared to the sustained dip in the oil price we have seen since June. But oil is priced in US dollars. Convert it to pounds and that share price appears justified.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The same case can be for the large <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/investing-basics/market-sectors/investing-in-mining-stocks-in-the-uk/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">mining stocks</a>, several of which feature in the FTSE 100. <strong>Glencore</strong> has recently announced record profits plus a special dividend for investors on the back of strategic commodity investments. Continued elevated energy prices should continue to contribute to its already strong cash position.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Similar observations can be made in the precious metals sector.  The prices of silver and gold have had a torrid time recently. The share price of precious metal miner <strong>Fresnillo</strong>, on the other hand, has failed to participate in the downturn.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">One note of caution</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The energy sector has had a lot of media attention recently, and there is persistent talk of windfall taxes on the most profitable companies. While the present political climate suggests further tax rises on such companies are unlikely, it is something I must keep an eye on.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-investing-is-seldom-two-dimensional">Investing is seldom two dimensional</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">What I have had to learn as an investor is that it is all too easy to get caught up in the bad news when, in fact, negative headlines can &#8212; in some cases &#8212; mask an investment opportunity.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/09/23/why-i-believe-these-ftse-100-stocks-will-continue-to-outperform/">Why I believe these FTSE 100 stocks will continue to outperform</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
<p><strong>More reading</strong></p><ul><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/ftse-250-stock-cmcs-shares-have-rocketed-51-whats-going-on/'>FTSE 250 stock CMC&#8217;s shares have rocketed 51%! What&#8217;s going on?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/will-i-buy-spacex-at-100-a-share-in-my-sipp/'>Will I buy SpaceX at £100 a share in my SIPP?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/aberdeen-shares-are-back-in-the-ftse-100-is-this-turnaround-stock-just-getting-started/'>Aberdeen shares are back in the FTSE 100 — is this turnaround stock just getting started?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/down-65-with-a-5-65-yield-is-this-dividend-share-a-once-in-a-decade-buy/'>Down 65% with a 5.65% yield! Is this dividend share a once-in-a-decade buy? </a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/this-is-the-worst-ftse-100-share-over-5-years-should-i-sell-it/'>This is the worst FTSE 100 share over 5 years. Should I sell it?</a></li></ul><p><em>Michael Hawkins has a position in BP. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Fresnillo. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/help/disclaimer/what-does-it-mean-to-be-motley/">us better investors.</a></em></p>
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                                <title>This drinks company should prove to be a reliable dividend stock</title>
                <link>https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/09/14/this-drinks-company-should-prove-to-be-a-reliable-dividend-stock/</link>
                                <pubDate>Wed, 14 Sep 2022 10:26:44 +0000</pubDate>
                <dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Hawkins]]></dc:creator>
                		<category><![CDATA[Investing Articles]]></category>

                <guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/?p=1162524</guid>
                                    <description><![CDATA[<p>Even if economic conditions continue to soften, the soft drinks manufacturer and distributer Britvic is a dividend stock that should still provide me with regular income. </p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/09/14/this-drinks-company-should-prove-to-be-a-reliable-dividend-stock/">This drinks company should prove to be a reliable dividend stock</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Financial commentators far smarter than I stress that this is the time to go to cash. But with consumer price inflation running at 10% and interest rates at 1.75%, let’s just say I am a little reluctant to see my hard-earned money devalue at over 8% a year. Therefore I am actively looking for dividend stocks that can consistently contribute to my bottom line.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">To be clear, <strong>Britvic</strong> (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/tickers/lse-bvic/">LSE: BVIC</a>)’s present <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/investing-basics/how-to-value-shares/dividend-yield/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">dividend yield</a> of 2.95% is hardly going to set the world alight and gets nowhere close to beating that present inflation rate, but I do believe there is plenty to like about this company.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Firstly, using the numbers from last year’s income statement, we have an earnings per share of 44.3p and dividend payment per share of 24.2p. Dividing one by the other provides a respectable dividend cover value of 1.83. This implies that this level of dividend is perfectly sustainable and well covered by earnings.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">An interim dividend payment that was paid in July 2022 (7.80p) showed a 20% increase over the same period in 2021, again suggesting the company is on the right track. The latest Q3 update reported an 11.2% increase in revenues on the same period last year.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In 2020 Britvic signed a 20-year franchise bottling agreement with another soft-drink giant <strong>PepsiCo</strong>. This includes the production, distribution, marketing, and sales of soft drink brands that include <em>Pepsi</em>, <em>7UP </em>and <em>Mountain Dew</em>.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Personally, I would be quite comfortable investing in this company that manufactures and distributes such well-known brands, even in this economic climate. &nbsp;&nbsp;I would expect that the soft drink business would remain a consumer staple while more discretionary spending continues to deteriorate.&nbsp; The CEO himself is quoted as saying that soft drinks fall into the “resilient” category.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I am aware that Britvic has a presence in Europe, which may be facing even more economic challenges than here in the UK, but am excited by its growing presence in Brazil. It appears that by holding shares in this company I get some emerging market exposure as well.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The company has stressed that it can mitigate the worst of the inflationary pressures that are facing all manufacturers. How it will be able to deal with rising energy costs in particular is less clear. Reassuringly, it describes its supply chain model as “robust”.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">While the share price has languished somewhat over the past 12 months by around 16%, my focus here remains one of reliable income and capital preservation rather than capital gains. Therefore, I continue to watch this price action with interest looking for an opportune moment to add Britvic to my portfolio.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/09/14/this-drinks-company-should-prove-to-be-a-reliable-dividend-stock/">This drinks company should prove to be a reliable dividend stock</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
<p><strong>More reading</strong></p><ul><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/ftse-250-stock-cmcs-shares-have-rocketed-51-whats-going-on/'>FTSE 250 stock CMC&#8217;s shares have rocketed 51%! What&#8217;s going on?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/will-i-buy-spacex-at-100-a-share-in-my-sipp/'>Will I buy SpaceX at £100 a share in my SIPP?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/aberdeen-shares-are-back-in-the-ftse-100-is-this-turnaround-stock-just-getting-started/'>Aberdeen shares are back in the FTSE 100 — is this turnaround stock just getting started?</a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/down-65-with-a-5-65-yield-is-this-dividend-share-a-once-in-a-decade-buy/'>Down 65% with a 5.65% yield! Is this dividend share a once-in-a-decade buy? </a></li><li> <a href='https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/04/this-is-the-worst-ftse-100-share-over-5-years-should-i-sell-it/'>This is the worst FTSE 100 share over 5 years. Should I sell it?</a></li></ul><p><em>Michael Hawkins has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Britvic. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/help/disclaimer/what-does-it-mean-to-be-motley/">us better investors.</a></em></p>
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