We have some exciting news to share! The Motley Fool UK has now become The Twelfth Magpie -- an independent, UK-owned company, led by our long-serving UK management team — Mark Rogers, Chris Nials and Heather Adlington. In practical terms, it’s the same team you know, now fully focused on serving our UK readers and members.

Just as importantly, our approach remains unchanged: long-term, jargon-free, and on your side. This site is our new home, and there will be extra tweaks made across the coming few days as we settle in. So if anything looks a little off, please bear with us!

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Why I’d buy this recovering dividend stock, but dodge this falling knife

Harvey Jones says you might need to count your fingers after attempting to grab these two falling knives.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Twelfth Magpie’s Premium Investing Services. Become a member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn more, and get a free 'Best Buy Now' stock!.

These two stocks have come crashing down to earth recently, but one of them at least is showing signs of recovery.

Stanley’s road

Wealth manager Charles Stanley Group (LSE: CAY) is up more than 3% after reporting continued revenue growth across all divisions, with core business revenue up 5% to £77.7m.  It also announced a 5% increase in funds under management and administration to £25bn, with discretionary funds up by 7.3% to £13.2bn.

Should you buy Keller Group Plc shares today?

Before you decide, please take a moment to review this report first. Despite ongoing uncertainties from US tariffs to global conflicts, Mark Rogers and his team believe many UK shares still trade at substantial discounts, offering savvy investors plenty of potential opportunities to learn about.

That’s why this could be an ideal time to secure this valuable research – Mark’s analysts have scoured the markets to reveal 5 of his favourite long-term ‘Buys’. Please, don’t make any big decisions before seeing them.

Core business profit before tax rose 5.6% to £5.7m, with profit margins increasing from 8.4% to 9.3%. Charles Stanley also boasted of a “robust balance sheet”, with net assets of £102.8m and cash balances of £67m. It’s also boosted its capital adequacy ratio 177% to 193%, while investors are clearly pleased with the 10% interim dividend increase to 2.75p per share.

Today’s interim results for the six months ended 30 September offer plenty of positives. They also confirm the success of its restructuring progress, after it posted a net loss of of £6.2m in 2015, due to tough competition and lack of volatility.

Up and down

The £152m group now trades at 14.5 times earnings, with a forecast yield of 3.7%. Earnings growth looks healthy too, forecast at 29% for the year to 31 March 2019, then 35% the year after. Charles Stanley expects to make continued progress in the second half of the financial year, although this will partly depend on trading levels which it has less control over. I’ve held this stock before and may be tempted to look at it again.

This hasn’t been such a good day for ground engineering specialists Keller Group (LSE: KLR), which is down 4% after reporting that its outlook for 2019 is “somewhat mixed.” Its trading update said that although its main markets remain healthy and the order book sound, “as previously indicated the contribution from major projects will be lower than this year.”

Going to ground

Last month, Keller’s stock plunged 25% after issuing a profit warning. Its APAC division is on course to make a pre-tax loss of between £12m-£15m in 2018, instead of the small profit expected, due to deteriorating ASEAN market conditions. Following a management review it’s exiting low margin activities in Singapore and Malaysia, with combined revenues of around £60m, to focus on higher-margin sectors where it holds a technological advantage. It hopes this will return its APAC operations to profit in 2019.

Its geotechnical businesses traded in line with expectations in North America, avoiding any material impact from Hurricanes Florence and Michael, although unusually poor weather in Texas in October has adversely affected its Suncoast business, already hit by rising steel prices.

Not my bag

Growth in Keller’s core European, Middle Eastern and North African markets has “continued to be offset by challenging market conditions in Brazil and South Africa, reflecting the geo-political environment in those countries.”

Somewhat mixed is an understatement. Trading at 595p, Keller has lost half its value since peaking at 1,281p in February 2014. You could take a punt on its tempting forecast valuation of 5.8 times earnings and forward yield of 5.8%, with cover of 2.3, but I won’t be joining you.

harveyj has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young female couple boarding their plane at the airport to go on holiday.
Investing Articles

Can the Rolls-Royce share price reach £15.97 by the end of August?

The Rolls-Royce share price has had a solid run in the last year. Muhammad Cheema takes a look at whether…

Read more »

Santa Clara offices of NVIDIA
Investing Articles

Up 1,200% in 5 years, here’s why Nvidia could still be a brilliant value stock

An exciting new announcement that could reshape the PC industry has just pushed Nvidia stock... well, just about nowhere really.

Read more »

House models and one with REIT - standing for real estate investment trust - written on it.
Investing Articles

How investing £4.50 a day could set you on the way to a £1,505 monthly second income

How can UK stocks with high dividend yields help investors earn a meaningful second income from the price of a…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Up 103% with a P/E of 261 — is this FTSE 100 stock still worth buying?

One FTSE 100 stock is quietly moving higher while most investors are still looking elsewhere — is the market missing…

Read more »

Concept of two young professional men looking at a screen in a technological data centre
Investing Articles

The smart money thinks AI stocks look risky — but is there still a chance to buy?

According to fund managers, the AI trade is getting crowded. But they still seem to think it’s the place to…

Read more »

Man putting his card into an ATM machine while his son sits in a stroller beside him.
Investing Articles

Barclays shares are 11% below their 52-week high. Could they be a bit of a bargain to consider?

Overpriced or one of the FTSE 100’s hidden gems? James Beard takes a closer look at how the market is…

Read more »

Stack of one pound coins falling over
Investing Articles

Down 65% but yielding 6.7% – is this beaten-down UK stock now a generational bargain?

Harvey Jones says this UK stock is one of the worst FTSE 100 performers but there are sound reasons to…

Read more »

Portrait of elderly man wearing white denim shirt and glasses looking up with hand on chin. Thoughtful senior entrepreneur, studio shot against grey background.
Investing Articles

Is this FTSE stock really 46% undervalued?

Analysts reckon this FTSE stock should be worth nearly 50% more. James Beard considers why there’s so much positivity surrounding…

Read more »