We have some exciting news to share! The Motley Fool UK has now become The Twelfth Magpie -- an independent, UK-owned company, led by our long-serving UK management team — Mark Rogers, Chris Nials and Heather Adlington. In practical terms, it’s the same team you know, now fully focused on serving our UK readers and members.

Just as importantly, our approach remains unchanged: long-term, jargon-free, and on your side. This site is our new home, and there will be extra tweaks made across the coming few days as we settle in. So if anything looks a little off, please bear with us!

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Why I’d buy this recovering dividend stock, but dodge this falling knife

Harvey Jones says you might need to count your fingers after attempting to grab these two falling knives.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Twelfth Magpie’s Premium Investing Services. Become a member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn more, and get a free 'Best Buy Now' stock!.

These two stocks have come crashing down to earth recently, but one of them at least is showing signs of recovery.

Stanley’s road

Wealth manager Charles Stanley Group (LSE: CAY) is up more than 3% after reporting continued revenue growth across all divisions, with core business revenue up 5% to £77.7m.  It also announced a 5% increase in funds under management and administration to £25bn, with discretionary funds up by 7.3% to £13.2bn.

Should you buy Keller Group Plc shares today?

Before you decide, please take a moment to review this report first. Despite ongoing uncertainties from US tariffs to global conflicts, Mark Rogers and his team believe many UK shares still trade at substantial discounts, offering savvy investors plenty of potential opportunities to learn about.

That’s why this could be an ideal time to secure this valuable research – Mark’s analysts have scoured the markets to reveal 5 of his favourite long-term ‘Buys’. Please, don’t make any big decisions before seeing them.

Core business profit before tax rose 5.6% to £5.7m, with profit margins increasing from 8.4% to 9.3%. Charles Stanley also boasted of a “robust balance sheet”, with net assets of £102.8m and cash balances of £67m. It’s also boosted its capital adequacy ratio 177% to 193%, while investors are clearly pleased with the 10% interim dividend increase to 2.75p per share.

Today’s interim results for the six months ended 30 September offer plenty of positives. They also confirm the success of its restructuring progress, after it posted a net loss of of £6.2m in 2015, due to tough competition and lack of volatility.

Up and down

The £152m group now trades at 14.5 times earnings, with a forecast yield of 3.7%. Earnings growth looks healthy too, forecast at 29% for the year to 31 March 2019, then 35% the year after. Charles Stanley expects to make continued progress in the second half of the financial year, although this will partly depend on trading levels which it has less control over. I’ve held this stock before and may be tempted to look at it again.

This hasn’t been such a good day for ground engineering specialists Keller Group (LSE: KLR), which is down 4% after reporting that its outlook for 2019 is “somewhat mixed.” Its trading update said that although its main markets remain healthy and the order book sound, “as previously indicated the contribution from major projects will be lower than this year.”

Going to ground

Last month, Keller’s stock plunged 25% after issuing a profit warning. Its APAC division is on course to make a pre-tax loss of between £12m-£15m in 2018, instead of the small profit expected, due to deteriorating ASEAN market conditions. Following a management review it’s exiting low margin activities in Singapore and Malaysia, with combined revenues of around £60m, to focus on higher-margin sectors where it holds a technological advantage. It hopes this will return its APAC operations to profit in 2019.

Its geotechnical businesses traded in line with expectations in North America, avoiding any material impact from Hurricanes Florence and Michael, although unusually poor weather in Texas in October has adversely affected its Suncoast business, already hit by rising steel prices.

Not my bag

Growth in Keller’s core European, Middle Eastern and North African markets has “continued to be offset by challenging market conditions in Brazil and South Africa, reflecting the geo-political environment in those countries.”

Somewhat mixed is an understatement. Trading at 595p, Keller has lost half its value since peaking at 1,281p in February 2014. You could take a punt on its tempting forecast valuation of 5.8 times earnings and forward yield of 5.8%, with cover of 2.3, but I won’t be joining you.

harveyj has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Here’s why Babcock and BAE Systems shares got a Burnham boost today

New PM Andy Burnham has announced his cabinet and defence stocks are rising. But where have I got my money:…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 under-the-radar UK growth shares that are quietly beating the S&P 500 in 2026

Our writer highlights three British growth shares that have made spectacular gains this year, while everyone was distracted by AI…

Read more »

Close-up image depicting a woman in her 70s taking British bank notes from her colourful leather wallet.
Investing Articles

Here’s the passive income 1,000 Greggs shares could deliver per year

This writer plans to hang onto his Greggs shares because he thinks they are undervalued. But he also likes the…

Read more »

A row of satellite radars at night
Investing Articles

This ex-penny stock has crushed Rolls-Royce shares over 5 years! Is there more to come?

With all eyes on Rolls-Royce shares, this growth share with a connection to SpaceX might have gone unnoticed by a…

Read more »

Close-up as a woman counts out modern British banknotes.
Investing Articles

With a 6.4% yield and P/E of 10 is this FTSE dividend stock a hidden passive income gem?

Building a portfolio of solid UK dividend stocks isn't hard. Paul Summers takes a closer look at one high-yielding candidate…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Growth Shares

At 112p, where next for the Lloyds share price? 168p or 56p?

Jon Smith mulls over the direction going forward for the Lloyds share price, and explains why two very different scenarios…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This dividend stock has a 7.3% yield, and Stocks and Shares ISA investors are buying!

Looking to move from a Cash ISA to a Stocks and Shares ISA to target passive income? Alan Oscroft has…

Read more »

Surprised Black girl holding teddy bear toy on Christmas
Investing Articles

Could Rolls-Royce shares lock in another 34% gain before Christmas?

Mark Hartley takes a look at some of the more optimistic price targets for Rolls-Royce, and considers a best-case scenario.…

Read more »