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                                <title>Earnings preview: Royal Mail, Howden Joinery, Dunelm</title>
                <link>https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/07/18/earnings-preview-royal-mail-howden-joinery-dunelm/</link>
                                <pubDate>Mon, 18 Jul 2022 13:30:00 +0000</pubDate>
                <dc:creator><![CDATA[John Choong]]></dc:creator>
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                                    <description><![CDATA[<p>Earnings releases are a key moment for stock price. So, here's what to expect from three big FTSE firms reporting results this week.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/07/18/earnings-preview-royal-mail-howden-joinery-dunelm/">Earnings preview: Royal Mail, Howden Joinery, Dunelm</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
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                                                                                            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<img width="1600" height="900" src="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Retail-investor.jpg" class="attachment-rss-thumbnail size-rss-thumbnail wp-post-image" alt="Happy young female stock-picker in a cafe" style="float:left; margin:0 15px 15px 0;" decoding="async" fetchpriority="high">
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Earnings results are a great way for investors to judge a company. They’re used to determine whether companies are on track with their <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/investing-basics/how-to-invest-in-shares/how-to-get-company-information/">initial guidance</a>. These results can often radically move share prices in either direction, depending on the numbers reported. So, here’s an earnings preview for three <strong>FTSE</strong> firms reporting results this week.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Itâs always best to compare firmsâ new quarterly/half-year numbers to those from prior years. But certain revenue figures may have been impacted by the pandemic, so itâs important to get context from pre-pandemic levels too. The new figures that are due can also be useful to determine whether a company can perform better than its previous yearâs numbers, or if it can beat analystsâ annual forecasts. It’s a shame that analysts in the UK donât normally publish earnings previews for quarterly or half-year periods.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-royal-mail-q1-trading-update">Royal Mail (Q1 trading update)</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Royal Mail</strong> (LSE: RMG) is Britain’s biggest postal service and courier company. The group runs the brands Royal Mail and GLS (an international logistics company). The <strong>FTSE 250</strong> firm is expected to provide a trading update for its most recent Q1 performance ending June 2022 on Wednesday 20 July. The company’s financial year ends in March 2023.</p>



<div class="tmf-chart-singleseries" data-title=" Price" data-ticker="LSE:RMG" data-range="5y" data-start-date="" data-end-date="" data-comparison-value=""></div>




<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Analysts covering Royal Mail are predicting a slowdown in both its top and bottom lines for the current financial year. The board painted a gloomy picture for the group in its Q4 earnings call, which sent the share price crashing. Lockdown tailwinds have dissipated, and the logistics group is locked in discussions with staff over its latest pay round, with the threat of possible strike action. Pair that with a slowing British economy and high fuel costs, and it seems to me that the only way for its share price to go is down. Making matters worse, EPS for its current year has seen a steady decline from Â£0.54 to Â£0.45 over the last 90 days. Nonetheless, if revenue figures come in above 2020 levels, there could be a surprise rally.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table><thead><tr><th class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Metrics</th><th class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Amount (Q1 2020/2022)</th><th class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Amount (FY22)</th><th class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Analysts Earnings Estimates (FY23)</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Total Revenue</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Â£2.63bn/Â£3.16bn</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Â£12.71bn</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Â£12.69bn</td></tr><tr><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Adjusted Basic Earnings per Share (EPS)</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">–</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Â£0.60</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Â£0.45</td></tr></tbody></table><figcaption><em>Source: Royal Mail Investor Relations</em></figcaption></figure>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-howden-joinery-h1-earnings">Howden Joinery (H1 earnings)</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Howden Joinery</strong> (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/tickers/lse-hwdn/">LSE: HWDN</a>) is the UK’s number one trade kitchen supplier. It provides thousands of products across kitchens, joinery, and hardware. The <strong>FTSE 100</strong> firm is expected to post its half-year earnings for its six months performance ending June on 21 July. The company’s financial year ends in December 2022.</p>



<div class="tmf-chart-singleseries" data-title="Howden Joinery Group Plc Price" data-ticker="LSE:HWDN" data-range="5y" data-start-date="" data-end-date="" data-comparison-value=""></div>




<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The overall consensus is that Howden Joinery is expected to continue growing its top and bottom lines. Analysts have also revised their EPS targets for the current year upwards, by nearly Â£0.01 in the last 90 days. That being said, investors will be paying attention to the guidance provided on Thursday in order to determine whether the supplier can beat its previous year’s record figures.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table><thead><tr><th class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Metrics</th><th class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Amount (H1 2021)</th><th class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Amount (FY21)</th><th class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Analysts Earnings Estimates (FY22)</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Total Revenue</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Â£785m</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Â£2.09bn</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Â£2.23bn</td></tr><tr><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Basic Earnings per Share (EPS)</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Â£0.16</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Â£0.53</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Â£0.54</td></tr></tbody></table><figcaption><em>Source: Howden Joinery Investor Relations</em></figcaption></figure>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-dunelm-q4-trading-update">Dunelm (Q4 trading update)</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Dunelm</strong> (<a class="tickerized-link" href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/tickers/lse-dnlm/">LSE: DNLM</a>) is a British home furnishings retailer that operates throughout the UK. It’s one of the largest homewares retailers in the country with an ever growing market share. The FTSE 250 firm will be posting its Q4 trading update for the period ending June 2022 on Thursday 21 July. The company’s financial year ends in June 2022.</p>



<div class="tmf-chart-singleseries" data-title="Dunelm Group Plc Price" data-ticker="LSE:DNLM" data-range="5y" data-start-date="" data-end-date="" data-comparison-value=""></div>




<p class="wp-block-paragraph">While public listed companies normally release their full year results along with their Q4 numbers, Dunelm will only report its FY earnings on 14 September. This is most likely due to its financial year only ending three weeks ago. Therefore, the trading update will be more akin to an earnings preview.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Having said that, the revenue figure will be watched closely as specific bottom line figures will only be released in September. Comments from the board will also be closely monitored as investors look to determine whether EPS estimates will be met. Nevertheless, analysts have revised their EPS targets from Â£0.79 to Â£0.80 in the last 90 days. Despite that, a slowdown in <a href="https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/retailindustry/bulletins/retailsales/previousReleases" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">retail sales</a> in the last quarter should be kept in mind. It may have impacted Dunelm’s top line figure, along with higher fuel and labour costs. These macroeconomic factors could see analysts’ EPS being revised lower, if management hints at lower margins in the trading update.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table><thead><tr><th class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Metrics</th><th class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Amount (FY21)</th><th class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Analysts Earnings Estimates (FY22)</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Total Revenue</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Â£1.34bn</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Â£1.52bn</td></tr><tr><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Diluted Earnings per Share (EPS)</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Â£0.63</td><td class="has-text-align-center" data-align="center">Â£0.80</td></tr></tbody></table><figcaption><em>Source: Dunelm Investor Relations</em></figcaption></figure>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2022/07/18/earnings-preview-royal-mail-howden-joinery-dunelm/">Earnings preview: Royal Mail, Howden Joinery, Dunelm</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com">The Twelfth Magpie</a>.</p>
<p><strong>More reading</strong></p><ul><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/13/which-uk-stocks-are-investors-overlooking-right-now/">Which UK stocks are investors overlooking right now?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/10/3-shares-to-consider-holding-in-a-sipp-for-decades/">3 shares to consider holding in a SIPP for decades</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/09/how-much-must-investors-put-into-this-overlooked-ftse-dividend-star-to-make-an-annual-second-income-of-8686/">How much must investors put into this overlooked FTSE dividend star to make an annual second income of Â£8,686?</a></li><li> <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/2026/06/03/the-ftse-100s-howden-joinery-just-made-a-bold-move-should-investors-care/">The FTSE 100âs Howden Joinery just made a bold move â should investors care?</a></li></ul><p class="p1"><i>John Choong owns shares of Dunelm.</i><em><i data-uw-styling-context="true"> </i>The Motley Fool UK has recommended Howden Joinery Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes <a href="https://www.twelfthmagpie.com/help/disclaimer/what-does-it-mean-to-be-motley/">us better investors.</a></em></p>
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