Google’s parent company Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) released its earnings results after the US market closed yesterday. Although revenues in every sector showed growth, figures across the board missed analysts’ expectations. With that in mind, should I still buy Alphabet stock?

Snapping back

With Alphabet missing both its top and bottom line consensus, I was surprised to see the stock pop as high as 5% in after-hours trading. There could be several reasons for this. However, I’d attribute it to the increase in advertising revenue despite Snap’s lacklustre Q2 earnings last week, which warned of lower ad spend last quarter.

Having said that, all of Alphabet’s core businesses saw growth on a year-on-year (Y/Y) basis. These figures defied the doom and gloom Snap posted in its earnings report, which spooked the stock market into a sell-off.

Vision for the future

So, with an increase in its top line, why did the Nasdaq-listed firm see a decline in its EPS? The two main culprits were higher labour costs and further investments in tech. CEO Sundar Pichai said the tech giant is planning to continue heavily investing in developing its offerings.

The latest AI-integrated search features are already showing promise, as Multisearch and Google Lens have seen increasing levels of adoption among users. The feature brings up relevant information related to objects it identifies using visual analysis. This allows people to use text and images at the same time, while giving users the ability to ask questions about what they see.

On the YouTube front, Alphabet announced a partnership with Shopify last week. This collaboration enables Shopify merchants to feature their products across YouTube channels and content. And with YouTube Shorts continuing to grow fast, this feature could help to monetise it.

As for Cloud, I was happy to see revenues continuing to hit fresh highs. Pichai confirmed that demand for the service remains robust, with more enterprises expected to come on board as new features get added. The acquisition of Mandiant that’s expected to be completed by the end of the year should also help with this. As the bulk of the company’s capital expenditure went towards servers and data centres, I’m confident in Cloud’s long-term earnings potential.

Returning for more

Although such developments excite me as an investor, I’m well aware of the risks associated with investing in Alphabet. There’s the obvious macroeconomic headwind that’s expected to dent ad spend in the near term. This was confirmed by CFO Ruth Porat on the earnings call.

More worrying is the rise of TikTok. Google exec Prabhakar Raghavan admitted around 40% of Gen Z users prefer searching via TikTok or Instagram over Google. If it fails to improve its search features or win over users, Alphabet’s core business could be compromised.

Yet, I have confidence in this experienced team to continue developing its products and services, and fend off competition. The board has shown its ability to return value to its investors time and time again.  In fact, Q2 hosted the biggest share buyback in the company’s history. Therefore, I remain bullish and will look to buy more Alphabet stock for my portfolio while it’s cheap.

The post Should I buy Alphabet stock after its Q2 earnings? appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

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John Choong owns shares of Alphabet (Class A Shares). Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Alphabet (A shares), Alphabet (C shares), and Shopify. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

The Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) share price just ‘lost’ 95% of its value today. The stock was trading above the $2,200 mark on Friday but is now trading just above $110. Here’s why, and whether I’ll be buying Alphabet stock for my portfolio.

Heading Dow-wards?

The sole reason for the drop in the Alphabet share price is its recent 20-to-1 stock split. Those who held the stock when the US market closed on Friday were awarded 19 additional stocks for every stock they held. The value of each stock has been divided by 20 as well.

According to the board, the reason for this split is to encourage higher trading volume while making access to Alphabet stocks easier. However, this is a double-edged sword. While a ‘cheaper’ stock encourages more volume to boost its share price, it also means that it’s more vulnerable to being shorted and driving the share price down. This is a genuine risk considering the negative sentiment surrounding the current bear market.

Nonetheless, the main prospect from the stock split is Alphabet’s potential entry into the coveted Dow Jones index. The index includes 30 of the most prominent companies listed on US stock exchanges. Given Alphabet’s prominence, analysts are predicting it’s a matter of when and not if the NASDAQ-listed firm gets inducted. If this happens, I expect the Alphabet share price to rally, as institutions tracking the index will have to purchase the stock.

What now?

Despite the excitement surrounding its stock split, the Alphabet share price is still down 20% this year. Fears of a recession have led investors to speculate that growth in advertising spending, Alphabet’s main source of revenue, will stall. As such, analysts’ earnings per share (EPS) estimates have seen downward revision over the last 90 days.

Alphabet’s stock plunged after it reported its Q1 earnings results, as some key figures fell short of analysts’ expectations. Slowing advertising spending from the Russia-Ukraine conflict along with currency headwinds were some of the reasons cited by management for the underperformance. But with Alphabet set to report its Q2 results next Tuesday, I’m hoping that there will be better news. EPS is expected to come in lower than a year ago. But I’ll be paying close attention to the guidance provided, in hopes the group is on track to achieve 15% revenue growth for the year.

Searching for profits

Alphabet stock is currently the largest holding in my portfolio, so should I be buying more? Well, the company has a flawless set of financials to begin with. A 5.1% debt-to-equity ratio and a mountain of cash ($134bn) puts it in an excellent position to grow and withstand an economic downturn. Additionally, it boasts high-quality earnings with excellent growth prospects from its latest developments. These include YouTube Shorts, Google Cloud, Google Workspace, Waymo, and even an improvement to Google Search.

So, with an average price target of $158.98, this gives the current Alphabet share price a 40% upside. As such, I’ll be looking to buy more of its stock as I believe Alphabet has the potential to substantially increase my wealth in the long term.

The post What just happened to the Alphabet share price? appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

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John Choong owns shares of Alphabet (Class A Shares). Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Alphabet (A shares) and Alphabet (C shares). Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

The Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) share price is down 20% this year. Nonetheless, it has managed to outperform its index, the Nasdaq. With a number of groundbreaking features implemented to the Google search engine, and a 20-to-1 stock split coming up, the Alphabet share price could be about to rally.

Searching for direction

Alphabet is the market leader in the search engine and advertising field, by way of Google. Even so, it continues to innovate its product and service offerings. CEO Sundar Pichai introduced a multisearch feature at the company’s latest annual general meeting (AGM). The feature gives users the ability to search with images and text simultaneously. Additionally, Alphabet incorporated scene exploration into Google, which gathers insights about multiple objects within images, with local information for search being added as well. For example, this allows users to search for a product in the area.

Not only do these new features generate a much better experience, but it also allows for a better connection to form between users and merchants. As a result, this should improve advertising revenue for Alphabet.

Split coming up

At Alphabet’s latest AGM, shareholders finally approved the 20-to-1 stock split. The split doesn’t change the company’s financial position, but it does encourage an increase in trading volume. This makes the stock more accessible to investors, as its current $2,200 price tag makes the stock look expensive.

A cheaper-looking stock also makes Alphabet more lucrative to institutions and investors. One of these is Warren Buffett, who has made no secret of his regret at not buying Alphabet stock. Perhaps this could be an opportunity for the Oracle of Omaha to purchase a position in one of the world’s biggest companies.

Moreover, the reduced price tag will most probably get the tech stock into the Dow Jones index. This would result in a large volume of institutional buying, thus increasing the Alphabet share price. In the past, stock splits at big companies have often been preceded by rallies leading up to the split. So, if Amazon‘s latest run up to its stock split is anything to go by, Alphabet shares may be in for a rally.

Growth rally

While Alphabet narrowly missed earnings expectations in its Q1 results, this was down to an increase in R&D spend. This was shown in the company’s AGM, as improvements made in Google Maps, Google Assistant, Google Cloud, Google Workspace and other bets were on display. Therefore, I expect these improvements to have a positive impact on usability and future revenue.

With a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20, the Alphabet stock looks extremely lucrative to me. A market leader with healthy growth prospects and a flawless balance sheet are perfect traits I look for in a company whenever I invest.

It’s also worth mentioning that Alphabet has an excellent record of having a high return on capital employed. This gives me plenty of confidence as an investor. As such, with its share price at a 1-year low, I’ll be looking to buy more Alphabet shares for my portfolio.

The post Is Alphabet stock about to rally? appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

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• Will SpaceX, Nvidia, or Alphabet be the first $10trn stock?
• This famous growth share’s doubled in a year. Too late to buy?
• Is Alphabet’s equity raise a stock market warning sign?

John Choong owns shares of Alphabet (Class A Shares) at the time of writing. John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Alphabet (A shares), Alphabet (C shares), and Amazon. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

A strong economy

The next US Federal Reserve meeting is expected to mean a 50 basis points hike in the Fed funds rate. This is equivalent of a 0.5% interest rate hike and has sparked fear of a still-bigger stock market correction. The Fed has a history of being too hawkish and spurring recessions, which affects markets globally, including here in the UK. Nonetheless, Moore thinks that the US economy is strong enough to handle multiple rate hikes this year. This is backed by strong employment numbers, heavy assets, and positive earnings results. He also believes inflation is close to reaching its peak. Nonetheless, oil remains the biggest issuing affecting consumer prices. The black gold could spark chaos again if it spikes above $100 per barrel.

Moore sees this year’s stock market correction as being short-lived due to the positive economic data coming in. He expects new market highs to come at some point next year. This should happen once inflation cools down and supply chain bottlenecks ease. Unfortunately, that’s where his bullishness ends. He thinks those new highs could be followed by a potential recession soon after, and into early 2024. This is most likely to happen once ‘stagflation’ (High inflation, but slow or no real economic growth) starts to take effect.

Time is my best friend

Will all that deter me from investing? No. There are four cycles in investing — accumulation, mark-up, distribution, and legacy. This was mentioned by Moore in my interview with him. As a young investor, I’m currently in the accumulation phase. This phase is where I see buying opportunities with attractive valuations during a bear market. Moore sees the current US market correction as a buy-the-dip opportunity for me, as I begin to pick up good discounts on mega-cap companies with healthy balance sheets, attractive margins, and pricing power. The tech-heavy Nasdaq in the US is down over 12% so far this year. That presents plenty of opportunities for me to buy shares in big US-listed tech companies such as Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft.

My buy the dip strategy

As Warren Buffett once said: “A diversified portfolio with exposure to different sectors is protection against ignorance.” This same advice was alluded to by Moore in our interview. The main takeaway was for me to invest more in a variety of value and dividend stocks. These can include commodities, insurance, and healthcare.

I was also pleasantly surprised to find out that Moore follows a similar buying strategy to mine. And he continued to encourage me to buy the dip. This means buying when I see around a 5% to 10% decline in a specific stock. When I asked him how much cash I should be leaving on the side to buy those dips, he mentioned 15-20% of my investment portfolio.

Ultimately, my purchases would be dependent on my risk assessment during any market fall, of course. But I will be buying the dip in mega-cap companies with excellent fundamentals for my portfolio.

The post Should I buy the dip in this stock market correction? appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

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• With a yield of 6.8% and a P/E ratio of 12.1, is this a dirt cheap FTSE 250 stock to consider?
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John Choong owns shares of Alphabet (Class A Shares) at the time of writing. John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Alphabet (A shares), Alphabet (C shares), Amazon, and Microsoft. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

What does the yield curve have to do with a recession?

An economic recession is typically defined as two straight quarters of negative gross domestic product (GDP). This means that the economy is contracting. Many analysts point towards the yield curve inverting as an indicator of an impending economic decline. After all, it has ‘predicted’ seven of the past eight recessions. The yield curve is an indicator of returns from government bonds. These bonds have a maturity date that can range from 1 month to 30 years. Wall Street normally sounds the alarm whenever short-term bonds (2-year) yield a higher return than long-term bonds (10-year), thus inverting the typical yield curve. Investment banks such as Deutsche Bank and Goldman Sachs have even predicted a recession based on this.

Cherry picking

I believe the data surrounding the relationship between the yield curve and an economic recession has been cloudy. Among all the times the yield curve has inverted in the last 30 years, a recession only preceded it three times. As such, I do not believe that three, or even arguably two data points constitutes good statistics. It is worth noting that the 2020 recession was caused by a global pandemic. Going back further, the yield curve had also inverted in 1995, 1996, and 1998, with no recession following. While it is common for a recession to follow after the inversion of a yield curve, it is not absolutely indicative of it.

Current economic data remains healthy and robust. The unemployment rate continues to decline while labour participation heads back to pre-pandemic levels. In addition, PMI numbers continue to expand, and spending patterns continue to show that consumers are in good shape. Most importantly, GDP continues to grow despite high inflation. Therefore, I think the economy is in a strong enough position to absorb the impact of rate hikes by the Fed, although an overly aggressive Fed might spark a recession.

Investing in a safe bet

While I do not know whether a recession will or will not materialise, I do know that Warren Buffett’s investing philosophy has been effective in generating healthy returns over the long term. I will continue to invest in companies with solid fundamentals, strong earnings, and potential for growth. I believe Alphabet checks all these boxes. It has a hybrid nature of being a defensive and growth stock. Its monopoly in the search and advertising space means that although revenue will take a hit, its position in the market is unlikely to get compromised. It also has tremendous earnings potential in an increasingly inelastic service, cloud computing. So whether a recession happens or not, I will continue to invest in companies that have strong fundamentals, such as Alphabet.

The post Here’s why a recession might not actually happen appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

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John Choong owns shares of Alphabet (Class A Shares) at the time of writing. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Alphabet (A shares) and Alphabet (C shares). Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

A new tax year starts on 6 April, and with it comes a renewed £20,000 ceiling that I can invest in my Stocks and Shares ISA. So, here are the three best stocks I’m buying to try to beat the market!

Stock pick #1 – Alphabet

Warren Buffet has always said that the best companies are those that exhibit solid fundamentals, strong earnings power, and the potential for continued growth. Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) manages to tick all these boxes. With a strong balance sheet, a 29.5% profit margin, and plenty of room for earnings growth with some analysts predicting a 22% upside to its current share price, the Google-parent stock is a no-brainer for me. Furthermore, despite having legal challenges as a big tech company, Alphabet has a history of outperforming the S&P 500. Its upcoming stock split this summer could work wonders for the share price as well. History has shown that stock splits tend to boost share prices as they encourage higher trading volume. Therefore, a solid balance sheet accompanied by strength in the search engine and advertising space makes Alphabet a hybrid defensive-growth stock for my Stocks and Shares ISA.

Stock pick #2 – PayPal

Although the PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) share price is 60% off its all-time-high, I think the fintech company still has plenty to offer. Despite a miss on its earnings last quarter, I am excited by PayPal’s revised business model. The platform is targeting more activity per user rather than more users. This is music to my ears because I value quality over quantity. Its partnerships with Amazon, Starbucks, and Doordash to integrate Venmo, an American mobile payment service it owns, will also provide a boost to its revenue. Its previous partnership with eBay generated a sizeable portion of revenue, showing me that PayPal has had some historical success. It could, however, suffer the effects of a high interest rate environment as transaction volume could slow down. Despite its interest income segment earning it revenue, it might not be sufficient to keep investors happy. Yet it’s also hedged against such a potential slowdown. The firm’s interest income segment hedges against rate hikes as it stands to earn revenue from interest too.

Stock pick #3 – Astra Space

Next up on my list is Astra Space (NASDAQ: ASTR). Astra sends small rockets into space to deliver satellites and other payloads for its commercial customers. As a pre-profit company, Astra carries a high level of risk, but with it also comes a high potential upside to its current share price. Since the Alameda-based company launched its first successful payload in March, the share price has shot up 21%. With more launches lined up and monthly launches planned for the rest of 2022, there could be room for the share price to continue growing. Astra also boasts a flawless balance sheet with zero debt, adequate cash levels, and a healthy cash burn. This gives me plenty of confidence to continue buying Astra shares as there is a low probability that the company will need to raise capital in the near future.

No dividends

These are all growth stocks with no official dividends. Nevertheless, the potential upside to the stocks’ share prices offsets the growth of regular dividend-paying stocks, in my opinion. This is why I’ll be buying all three stocks for my portfolio.

The post My top 3 picks for my Stocks and Shares ISA! appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

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John Choong owns shares of Alphabet (Class A shares), Astra Space, and PayPal at the time of writing. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Alphabet (A shares), Alphabet (C shares), and PayPal Holdings. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

The LF Blue Whale Growth fund might not be as well known as other actively-managed vehicles such as Fundsmith Equity, but this looks set to change. Today, I’ll explain why I’m still investing on a near-monthly basis. 

Blue Whale Growth: making a splash

Since its launch back in 2017, Blue Whale Growth has generated an annualised return of 19.9%, based on its most recent factsheet. That’s a stunning return. It’s all the more impressive considering the stock market volatility we’ve seen over the last year or two.

It’s also far higher than that achieved by its benchmark. The IA Global Sector average comes in at 11.8% over the same period. The fund outperformed in 2020 too — 26.4% vs 14.8% 

This points to some sound stock-picking by Stephen Yiu and his team. Blue Whale Growth adopts a quality-focused strategy. This means it’s looking for, among other things, companies able to make really good returns on the money they invest into their respective businesses. Think of this as a company’s internal interest rate. Anything regularly approaching or exceeding, say, 20%, is a great thing. 

Can this form continue?

Based on the sort of stocks that feature in its portfolio, I’m minded to think Blue Whale Growth is a great investment for the long term. It’s hard to imagine not using payment services such as Visa or Mastercard. Elsewhere, the presence of Nintendo within the portfolio provides some exposure to the lucrative gaming market. The inclusion of Kering — owner of a host of luxury brands such as Gucci — is a tick in the box for accessing the luxury goods industry. 

What’s more, Blue Whale features many stocks that Fundsmith doesn’t and vice versa. This means that investors like me won’t be ‘doubling up’ by investing in both funds, even though they follow a similar strategy. In fact, this is exactly what I do. 

Notwithstanding this, there are a few caveats.

Tech-heavy

The LF Blue Whale Growth fund might not be for me if I had concerns about the performance of tech shares going forward. As things stand, a little over 54% of the 30-stock portfolio is invested in companies from this sector. Many of the usual suspects feature: Alphabet (Google), Microsoft and Facebook. Some/all of these names may be subject to increased regulation. 

There’s also the fact that 70% of the fund is invested in US-listed companies. These may have high growth potential but, my goodness, does this come at a cost right now! Should markets wobble again, perhaps due to concerns that inflation isn’t as ‘transitory’ as some think, investors could quite reasonably assume that these will be shaken harder than most.

A final point worth highlighting is that the fund is blue-chip-focused. This provides reassurance that the stocks I hold should have the clout to weather most market storms. However, it also means I won’t be able to benefit from the outperformance generally seen in small-cap shares over time. For this, I use another strategy. 

Long-term hold

At ‘just’ £850m, Blue Whale Growth is still a tiddler in a big pond. However, should it be able to continue posting such stellar gains, I’m confident it’ll substantially increase in size over the years.

This is a ‘bottom drawer’ investment, in my view, and one that could/should prove an excellent wealth-builder as part of my balanced portfolio.

The post LF Blue Whale Growth: why I’m still buying appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

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Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Teresa Kersten, an employee of LinkedIn, a Microsoft subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to its CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Paul Summers owns shares in LF Blue Whale Growth Fund and Fundsmith Equity. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended Alphabet (A shares), Alphabet (C shares), Facebook, Mastercard, Microsoft, and Visa. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Notwithstanding this, I’m not as confident as some that the share price will continue to soar from here, at least in the near future.

Now, don’t get me wrong. Roblox’s chief pull — allowing players to create avatars that can move between games, all of which have been built by members of its own community — is attractive. When players can switch from creating a theme park to racing a car to starring in a fashion show, it’s perhaps no surprise Roblox is one of the biggest-grossing apps on Apple and Google devices.

Should this be the case, I think there’s a better way to play the gaming theme. 

Top UK growth stock 

Today’s full-year results from Dublin-based gaming services provider Keywords Studios (LSE: KWS) were as good as you might expect. Despite Covid-19 forcing many of the company’s employees to work from home, group revenue increased 14.4% to €373.5m. Pre-tax profit rose a whopping 86.6% to €32.5m. On top of this, Keywords ended the year with net cash (€102.9m), thanks in part to a successful €110m placing conducted in May.

The outlook for earnings looks just as good. As a result of new console launches (Playstation 5 and Xbox X/S Series), Keywords expects to see increased demand across its service lines “in 2021 and beyond.” Indeed, joint interim CEO Jon Hauck said the company was “very confident” in its future, thanks to “the continued trend towards outsourcing and an increased focus on content creation in a growing video games market.”

Buyer beware

All this surely bodes well for the KWS share price over the medium-to-long term. This isn’t to say there won’t be some volatility along the way. Although up more than 1,000% over the last five years, the KWS share price has suffered some not-insignificant reversals over this period. 

Like Roblox, there’s also the possibility that demand for the shares may moderate as investors grow wary that even the most committed gamers will want to get outside more over the next few months. These things matter when it’s considered that KWS shares already traded on a heady 38 times forecast earnings before markets opened this morning. 

Even so, I’d definitely feel more comfortable backing Keywords over Roblox. Aside from making real profits, the former is less focused on fickle young gamers. The ‘picks and shovels’ nature of its business also gives Keywords some earnings diversification that Roblox arguably doesn’t have. 

That said, I’m happy to continue funneling my money into this gaming-focused fund instead.

The post I’d buy this UK growth share ahead of Roblox appeared first on The Twelfth Magpie.

More reading

• With a yield of 6.8% and a P/E ratio of 12.1, is this a dirt cheap FTSE 250 stock to consider?
• Will SpaceX, Nvidia, or Alphabet be the first $10trn stock?
• Up 95%! This FTSE 100 stock’s outperformed Nvidia over the past year
• With a 9.3% yield, is this an amazing opportunity to consider buying dirt-cheap Taylor Wimpey shares?
• How much do you need in a Stocks and Shares ISA to aim for £375 a week in retirement?

Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Paul Summers has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended Alphabet (C shares) and Apple. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Keywords Studios and recommends the following options: short March 2023 $130 calls on Apple and long March 2023 $120 calls on Apple. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

There’s no sign of demand slowing either. Last week, SMT was the most popular buy from clients on share-dealing platform Hargreaves Lansdown.

This is not to say that the tech-focused fund is without risk. Today, I’m wondering whether I should buy and asking how big the risk is following two seismic events — Joe Biden’s election victory and the coronavirus vaccine breakthrough made by pharma giant Pfizer.

Dark clouds ahead?

Although it’s still too early to say how markets really feel about Biden’s victory, it’s sensible to suppose there will be both winners and losers from this outcome. Big tech could be in the latter, especially when it comes to paying tax.

Joe Biden has previously said that he plans to go back on his predecessor’s tax cuts. Indeed, a 7% increase in corporate income tax to 28% is on the new President’s to-do list.

This could be something of an issue for Scottish Mortgage. After all, its second-biggest holding — Amazon — takes up almost 8% of assets. 

This might not be the end of it. The growing monopoly of tech titans could lead President-elect Biden to enforce greater regulation and the break-up of these companies. 

Too expensive?

Of course, I simply can’t know what happens next for sure. There is a chance that Biden may not be successful in getting some (or many) of his campaign pledges through. The positive news on the Pfizer vaccine could also be undermined by rocketing infection and death rates and/or logistical problems getting it to the people that need it most. 

Rather than speculate, I think it’s more conducive to look at valuations. What I do know is that the US market remains expensive. Indeed, the huge rebound in the tech-heavy NASDAQ since March has pushed the share prices of some of the usual suspects into the trillions of dollars.

This, coupled with the arrival of the promising vaccine, may become temporarily problematic for SMT’s portfolio. After all, a pivot from investors into battered leisure and airline stocks could mean that the share prices of SMT’s constituents hardly move or even fall. 

What I’m doing

Personally, I’m not worried about how Biden and Pfizer may impact SMT (which, for the record, I hold). 

For one, the trust isn’t as highly invested in the US as other popular trusts/funds. According to Hargreaves Lansdown, only 44% of the stocks held are listed in the US. I find this more reassuring than if I were invested in a fund solely focused on the American market. The fact that Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust’s portfolio also includes 47 private companies is also comforting.

So, rather than sell and miss further gains, I’m more inclined to check I’m suitably diversified elsewhere. Recognising that only 8% of SMT is exposed to the sector, I’ve recently bought iShares Healthcare Innovation ETF, for example. This may help if/when SMT’s share price takes a breather.

In investing, it pays to know what you don’t know. By spreading money around, I hope to take events — positive or negative — in their stride.

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John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Paul Summers owns shares in Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust and iSharesHealthcare Innovation UCITS ETF. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended Amazon and recommends the following options: short January 2022 $1940 calls on Amazon and long January 2022 $1920 calls on Amazon. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Today, I’m highlighting two examples I believe are likely to make their owners considerably richer, so long as they’re prepared to buy and hold. 

5G ready

FTSE 250 constituent Spirent (LSE: SPT) provides communications testing and connectivity kit to more than 1,500 customers around the globe in sectors as diverse as defence, healthcare, and financial services. It’s a leader in what it does and, right now, business is good.

Earlier this month, the company reported a “strong” performance over the first half of the year, despite some impact from the coronavirus. Order intake and revenue were up 6% and 7% respectively. A “material increase” in adjusted operating profit from $20.7m last year to $39.5m in 2020 was also booked. Cue a sharp rise in Spirent’s share price.

At 27 times earnings, this company’s now far from cheap. Then again, great stocks are rarely without friends for long. Indicatively, the company ticks the boxes for rising margins and returns on capital. It’s in solid financial shape with oodles of cash on the balance sheet. Although unlikely to attract income hunters, the 12% hike to the interim dividend also suggests confidence on the part of management.

By far, the most interesting part of the investment case for me is the company’s exposure to the 5G market. The fact that many organisations will turn to Spirent for support when it comes to deploying infrastructure and related equipment makes me think those buying this tech share now could be richly rewarded later down the line.

Booming tech share

Fellow FTSE 250 member Kainos (LSE: KNOS) is another stock worth backing, in my view. The IT consulting and software solutions provider is ideally placed to take advantage of a growing demand for ‘digital transformations’ as a result of the coronavirus pandemic.

Reflecting the recent boom in business, Kainos now expects full-year revenue will come in “well ahead” of previous expectations. Adjusted profit will also be “substantially ahead” of forecasts, thanks to demand from its near-400 customers around the world.

Another bit of good news was the 6.7p per share special dividend. This goes some way to making up for the lack of final payout from the previous year (which coincided with the coronavirus outbreak). The cherry on the cake was the announcement that cash returns would now carry on as usual. 

Naturally, all this hasn’t gone unnoticed by investors. Having soared 130% since March’s market crash, Kainos’s shares now sit on a valuation of 51 times forecast earnings. It may be that they now pause for breath. After all, the company still can’t estimate the impact Covid-19 will have on its customers. 

Like Spirent, however, Kainos has all the things I look for in a ‘buy and hold’ investment. Earnings are nicely diversified by customer and geography. Returns on capital employed are consistently high too. At the time of its update, the firm also held cash of more than £62m and zero debt. 

All told, I think Kainos is one to tuck away for a few years. Should markets crash again, I’ll be backing up the truck.

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John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Teresa Kersten, an employee of LinkedIn, a Microsoft subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Paul Summers has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended Alphabet (A shares), Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Kainos and recommends the following options: long January 2021 $85 calls on Microsoft, short January 2021 $115 calls on Microsoft, short January 2022 $1940 calls on Amazon, and long January 2022 $1920 calls on Amazon. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.