We have some exciting news to share! The Motley Fool UK has now become The Twelfth Magpie -- an independent, UK-owned company, led by our long-serving UK management team — Mark Rogers, Chris Nials and Heather Adlington. In practical terms, it’s the same team you know, now fully focused on serving our UK readers and members.

Just as importantly, our approach remains unchanged: long-term, jargon-free, and on your side. This site is our new home, and there will be extra tweaks made across the coming few days as we settle in. So if anything looks a little off, please bear with us!

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Prediction: this S&P 500 sector could produce the best returns in 2026

Jon Smith puts big tech to one side and talks about why he sees another sector from the S&P 500 providing the strongest returns this year.

| More on:
Playful senior couple in aprons dancing and smiling while preparing healthy dinner at home

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Twelfth Magpie’s Premium Investing Services. Become a member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn more, and get a free 'Best Buy Now' stock!.

Over the past year, the best-performing S&P 500 sector was communication services, followed by information technology. This might not surprise some, but with us now in 2026, I don’t think either of those two areas will be the best place to invest. Rather, I think it could be another sector that could steal the limelight this year!

An easy pill to swallow

My pick for 2026 is healthcare. Last year, it jumped 12.4%. Healthcare demand isn’t tied directly to the economic cycle the way other sectors are. For example, consumer discretionary or industrials are much more dependent on how well the broader US economy’s doing. But when it comes to medicine, people still need care regardless of the economic backdrop.

Should you buy Eli Lilly shares today?

Before you decide, please take a moment to review this report first. Despite ongoing uncertainties from US tariffs to global conflicts, Mark Rogers and his team believe many UK shares still trade at substantial discounts, offering savvy investors plenty of potential opportunities to learn about.

That’s why this could be an ideal time to secure this valuable research – Mark’s analysts have scoured the markets to reveal 5 of his favourite long-term ‘Buys’. Please, don’t make any big decisions before seeing them.

Yet it’s not just a defensive pick for 2026. The sector’s seeing large-scale breakthroughs that could really boost related stocks. A big one I’m thinking of is the rise of GLP-1 obesity and diabetes drugs. Another one is making use of AI for faster and more accurate drug discovery and diagnostics.

Finally, I think the valuation’s attractive. The largest healthcare sector ETF has a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.49. This contrasts with the broader S&P 500 average of 31.28. So by thinking about where the best value is right now, healthcare again ranks highly.

Of course, this is just my view. The sector might not be the best in the index if the AI build-out continues. If investor optimism remains high, communication services (including Meta and Alphabet) could steal the show. Or if interest rates fall faster than anticipated, the real estate sector and related US stocks could see large investor interest.

Specific targets

It’s possible to buy a sector tracker and invest passively. There’s nothing wrong with this, but I think some individual shares look particularly attractive. Eli Lilly‘s (NYSE:LLY) a good example here.

The stock’s surged 39% over the last year, fuelled by demand in GLP-1 products such as Mounjaro and Zepbound. Revenue in Q3 increased 54% versus the same period last year to $17.6bn, with these drugs specifically called out in driving this. Further, with the potential for much more widespread adoption, some of the share price increase is based on the future revenue potential.

Beyond obesity therapies, Lilly has an expanding pipeline in oncology and other therapeutic areas. Another appeal of owning the stock is the diversification of revenue. It’s a broad-based healthcare company, so if the sector as a whole does well, Eli Lilly stock should mirror the performance.

In terms of risks, there’s growing pressure from US regulators to lower drug costs. This could impact profit margins going forward for the company.

Even with this concern, I think it’s a stock for investors to consider, as a way to get exposure to the sector.

Jon Smith has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Alphabet and Meta Platforms. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on US Stock

The flag of the United States of America flying in front of the Capitol building
Investing Articles

UK investors are piling into this legendary S&P 500 growth stock while it’s down 50%

This US growth stock fell from $240 to $80 amid AI disruption fears. And investors are now aggressively buying it…

Read more »

Concept of two young professional men looking at a screen in a technological data centre
Investing Articles

Analysts at UBS just set a jaw-dropping price target for Nasdaq stock Micron

Micron's been one of the Nasdaq’s best performers this year. And analysts at UBS believe it can keep rising amid…

Read more »

Two employees sat at desk welcoming customer to a Tesla car showroom
Investing Articles

Up 28% in weeks, could Tesla stock go even higher?

Never short of doom mongers, Tesla stock has nonetheless soared in recent weeks. Might it now merit a place in…

Read more »

Investing Articles

2 top AI robotics stocks to consider above Tesla

Ben McPoland highlights a pair of stocks not called Tesla that he thinks could beat the market over time as…

Read more »

Portrait of pensive bearded senior looking on screen of laptop sitting at table with coffee cup.
Investing Articles

1 S&P 500 laggard I’m keeping on a short leash inside my Stocks and Shares ISA

This software leader’s been struggling in our writer's Stocks and Shares ISA. Why does Wall Street fear AI will destroy…

Read more »

British pound data
Investing Articles

What the bond market’s trying to tell investors about stocks

The stock market continues to hit new highs. But do investors need to pay attention to a warning signal coming…

Read more »

Abstract 3d arrows with rocket
Investing Articles

Here’s why June could be a great month to buy shares

SpaceX is coming to the stock market targeting a $1.85trn valuation. Stephen Wright thinks it could create opportunities to buy…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Should I ditch Ferrari from my Stocks and Shares ISA?

Ferrari shares fell in Ben McPoland's ISA portfolio earlier this week after its polarising EV was unveiled. Should he be…

Read more »